USA Today Sports. Pictured: DeShaun Watson, Brock Osweiler
Betting odds: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans
- Spread: Texans -7.5
- Over/Under: 44
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FOX/NFL Network
>> All odds as of Wednesday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets
Betting market: While spread action has been relatively boring, steady money on the under has pushed the total down from 45.5 to 44.5, and even to 44 at some spots.
At the time of writing, 60% of tickets and 76% of dollars wagered on the total have played the under, explaining why this number has dropped throughout the week (see live betting data here). — PJ Walsh
Trends to know: This is the third game in Deshaun Watson’s career in which he has been favored by a touchdown or more. Houston won the previous two games by an average of 11.5 points but went 1-1 against the spread.
On the other side, Brock Osweiler has been an underdog of more than three points in 10 previous NFL games, and he’s gone 2-8 straight up and 3-7 ATS. — John Ewing
For whatever reason, the Houston Texans struggle under the bright lights. Houston is 11-23 straight up and 7-25-2 ATS in prime-time games. — Evan Abrams
Biggest mismatch: Dolphins pass-blocking vs. Texans pass-rush