The New England Patriots (9-2) and Cincinnati Bengals (3-7) face off in Week 12 on Sunday, Nov. 23. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. The game will broadcast on CBS.
The Patriots are 6.5-point favorites over the Bengals on the spread (Patriots -6.5); the over/under is 51 points. New England is a -330 favorite to win outright, while Cincinnati is +250 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Patriots vs Bengals predictions for today's game.
Patriots vs Bengals Prediction
- Patriots vs Bengals pick: Bengals Moneyline (+250)
My Patriots vs Bengals best bet is the Cincinnati moneyline. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Patriots vs Bengals Odds
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 51 -110o / -110u | -330 |
| Bengals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 51 -110o / -110u | +250 |
Patriots vs Bengals NFL Week 12 Preview
Let's get a little crazy and go with the Bengals moneyline against New England.
Ja’Marr Chase is suspended after spitting on Jalen Ramsey. Considering he's the NFL leader in receptions, that's obviously a big loss for the Bengals.
I know DE Trey Hendrickson is also out, and that the Bengals defense stinks, as does their offensive line, but we may be due for a vintage Joe Flacco game.
According to Evan Abrams, Flacco has faced Mike Vrabel as a head coach twice in his career as a starter (with the Broncos and Ravens), and his teams are 2-0 SU/ATS in those game, winning by a combined score of 37-0.
Of course, the wild card for this game is that Joe Burrow could make his return. He's practiced all week and reports have been positive, but there's been no official word at the time of writing.
The Patriots have had the easiest schedule in the league so far this season. Maybe they are a little fat and happy, likely due for a weird loss, just like every other NFL team would be sitting at 9-2 with a two-game lead in the division.
Even the best of the best tend to have a couple of games each year where they simply don't show up, and this game would fit the bill for New England, playing at Cincinnati against a Bengals team that has been awful lately, while New England is on cruise control and everything is great.
Patriots vs Bengals Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Patriots have won eight straight games.
Teams on a straight up (SU) winning streak of 8+ games are 39-61-2 ATS (39%) since 2010, including 11-20-1 against the spread (ATS) since 2020. And when a team is on the road on an 8+ game win streak, they are 14-34 ATS since 2010.
Notably, the Patriots lost DE Milton Williams — that's a significant absence. The Bengals found some life in the run game as of late, and not having Chase obviously hurts because you want to attack the Patriots with your star wide receiver, but look out for Mitchell Tinsley. All that guy does is make circus catches.
So, let's take a shot with the Bengals moneyline in this spot. Just a gut feel here.
Note: I like the Bengals moneyline even if Joe Burrow doesn't come back for this game. Of course, odds will definitely be on the move if Burrow gets the start over Flacco.
Pick: Bengals Moneyline (+250)
Spread
No play on the spread.
Moneyline
My Bengals vs Patriots betting prediction is on Cincinnati to win outright on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in this game.
