The New York Jets (2-8) and Baltimore Ravens (5-5) square off in NFL Week 12 on Sunday, Nov. 23. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md. The game will be broadcast live on CBS.
The Ravens are favored by -13.5 on the spread over the Jets (Ravens -13.5); the game total is set at 44.5. The Ravens are -950 moneyline favorites and the Jets are +650 underdogs..
Let's get into my Jets vs Ravens predictions for today's Week 12 game.
Jets vs Ravens Prediction
- Jets vs Ravens pick: Under 44.5
My Jets vs Ravens best bet is the game total to go under 44.5 points. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Jets vs Ravens Odds
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | +650 |
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -950 |
Jets vs Ravens Week 12 Preview
New York Jets Betting Preview: Defense Must Carry Load
With Justin Fields benched, Tyrod Taylor will get the start for the Jets — he faces an uphill battle in dramatically improving the offensive output for an offense that ranks 29th in yards per play this season. In Taylor’s only start this season, he averaged just 5.5 yards per pass attempt.
New York has been respectable defending the run this season — that continued in its last game against the Patriots, when the Jets surrendered just 2.4 yards per rush.
The Patriots moved the chains just four times on rushing plays the entire contest against the Jets. In Week 10, the Jets’ front seven allowed just 3.4 yards per rush to Quinshon Judkins.
Derrick Henry’s production spikes whenever Lamar Jackson is on the field, but the Jets have shown they can play sound run defense, keeping gap integrity with consistency in recent weeks.
Furthermore, I wouldn’t be surprised if Jackson continues to protect himself by restricting his total rushing attempts; Jackson has produced just 60 rushing yards in three games since his return from injury.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview: Managing Lamar
Don’t look now, but the Ravens defense is in the midst of another mid-season turnaround.
No team has reached 20 points scored against Baltimore since Week 5. Over that same five-game stretch, the Ravens defense ranks as the very best in the NFL on a per-drive basis, allowing just 1.2 points per drive.
The Ravens haven't exactly faced a daunting schedule of quarterbacks during this recent defensive improvement, but it’s worth noting when they did have to take on MVP candidate Matthew Stafford in their biggest recent test, the Rams averaged a modest 4.7 yards per play.
The Ravens will first and foremost have to limit the production of Breece Hall on the ground. Per Sharp Football Analysis, Hall leads the NFL in usage on inside zone rushes. Baltimore allows 3.5 yards per carry on inside zone runs, the fifth-best mark league-wide.
Baltimore will also likely play with a lead for the majority of this game, which means Hall’s workload could be suppressed in terms of total rushes.
Lamar Jackson is dealing with multiple nagging injuries and it seems to be affecting his play.
Jackson has completed fewer than 60% of his passing attempts in each of the last two games. Given his health and the projected game script as heavy favorites, the Ravens will likely lean on Derrick Henry and the ground game.
Jets vs Ravens Prediction, Betting Analysis
Games involving the Ravens have gone under the total in three of their last five games, with the two overs cashing by only one point.
The Jets have played in games that have seen the under cash in three of their last five as well, but one of those games involved two first-quarter special teams touchdowns.
Both teams rank top six in the league in rushing rate, and I expect that trend to continue as the clock will churn throughout. I am comfortable playing this total under 45 or better.
Pick: Under 44.5
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
I have no bet for either moneyline.
Over/Under
I think the game script could lead to this being a low-scoring game, thus I'm betting the under.
