The 2026 NFL season is fast approaching, so fantasy football draft prep is well underway. But with prediction markets like Kalshi, you can find new ways to make a profit on your fantasy football takes. For example, you're able to make trades on the top-scoring fantasy quarterback for the upcoming season.
In this article, we're going to break down my favorite buys and sells for the top fantasy quarterback at Kalshi. I'll also include whether you should look to take an early exit on any of your positions.
So, without further ado, let's take a look at my top buys and sells for the top fantasy quarterback at Kalshi, including Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson, and more.
Fantasy Quarterback Buys
When determining my best buys at quarterback, I'm considering undervalued signal callers who can make an impact both through the air and on the ground.
Jayden Daniels, QB, Washington Commanders (18 cents at Kalshi)
Jayden Daniels is coming off an injury-plagued season, which limited him to only seven games. However, we can't let that down year make us forget how impressive he was as a rookie, when he finished as QB5 for the season.
The Commanders promoted David Blough to be their new offensive coordinator. This is a coach who flew through the ranks and was highly coveted by the Lions. Blough is going to have Daniels play under center more, so he'll be put in a position to grow as a passer.
As one of the biggest rushing threats in the NFL, Daniels plays an extremely fantasy-friendly game. There are going to be several spike weeks that put him in a spot to contend for overall QB1, but we have to acknowledge his injury risk due to his playing style. That means that even though he's a great buy at 18 cents, this is a spot where you can look to take an early exit from your position.
The Commanders have three tough games against the Eagles, Cowboys and Seahawks to start the year, but those are spots where they'll need Daniels to carry them. I wouldn't rule out a strong start even though two of three of those games are against great defenses.
After that, the Commanders face the Colts, Giants and 49ers, where two of those games could turn into shootouts. If Daniels is in the top three by the Week 7 bye, you could try to sell for a profit due to his injury risk.
Caleb Williams, QB, Chicago Bears (18 cents at Kalshi)
Caleb Williams finished as QB6 last season in his first year with Ben Johnson. Now more adapted to this scheme, we could see Williams take his game to new heights in 2026.
The Bears are loaded with talent on offense, including Colston Loveland, Luther Burden III and Rome Odunze, so Williams has a strong supporting cast that you need to finish as QB1.
On top of that, like Daniels, Williams plays a fantasy-friendly game, as he's able to make explosive plays off-script and add strong production on the ground. If the Bears offense takes off as expected, Williams will have a great chance to finish as the top scoring fantasy quarterback.
We haven't seen Williams miss much time so far this year, so I'm less worried about injury with him as with Daniels. I'm willing to hold this one all year, given the play-calling and weapons on offense.
Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles (17 cents at Kalshi)
Jalen Hurts just lost A.J. Brown, but the Eagles made some shrewd moves on offense, drafting Makai Lemon and Eli Stowers while bringing in Dontayvion Wicks.
The biggest upgrade for Philly is at play-caller, where Sean Mannion replaces Kevin Patullo, who was one of the worst play-callers in recent memory, given the talent he had at his disposal, so expect the Eagles offense to look a lot better this year.
Despite coming off a down year, Hurts has the ability to be among the top scorers at his position, especially because of the tush push, which allows him to rack up touchdowns on the ground.
The Eagles could be involved in a few shootouts to start the year, including against the Commanders (Week 1), Bears (Week 3), Rams (Week 4), and Jaguars (Week 5).
Once they hit the Week 10 bye, if Hurts is in the top three, you can look to sell. There's a chance that he'll be off to a great start due to the schedule.
Fantasy Quarterback Sells
The top fantasy quarterback sells are either based on price or injury risk. These are positions that you can hold all year.
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (95 cents at Kalshi)
Josh Allen is the biggest favorite to finish as overall QB1.
You have to like the continuity on offense with the Bills promoting Joe Brady from offensive coordinator to head coach. Expect the team to once again have a run-heavy offense, where Allen can score double-digit touchdowns, since they use the tush push quite often.
The only reason I'm fading Allen is that he's one of the few priced at 95 cents to not finish as the top fantasy quarterback, so the price is right here.
The Bills face the Texans in Week 1, a team that should have the best defense in the NFL. If he has a bad game there, you'll likely have an opportunity to secure an early profit.
I'm willing to hold all year, but this move makes a lot of sense as well.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens (95 cents at Kalshi)
Lamar Jackson is coming off an injury-plagued season. We all know about his talent, and he has the ability to break fantasy football.
The Ravens brought in Declan Doyle to be their new offensive coordinator. He comes from Ben Johnson's staff, so there's some optimism there.
But the main reason why we should fade Lamar at 95 cents is due to injury risk. There's no reason why he should be priced the same as Allen, who has been healthy every year.
This is a spot where I'd hold all year. Lamar's play style makes him miss 1-2 games per year, which will make it tough to finish as the top-scoring fantasy quarterback.
Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers (95 cents at Kalshi)
We're finishing it off with a Justin Herbert fade.
I get it, the Chargers made a massive upgrade at offensive coordinator, replacing Greg Roman with Mike McDaniel. They're also likely to be in a lot more shootouts, since we could see regression on defense after losing their defensive mastermind, Jesse Minter.
However, there's no reason why Herbert should be priced the same as Allen and Jackson. Unlike those two quarterbacks, Herbert has never finished remotely close to QB1 in recent years.
I think that he can definitely do it, but at 95 cents, the price is too good to pass up.
