NFL Picks & Predictions: Expert Divisional Round Bets (Jan. 20, Saturday)

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NFL Picks & Predictions: Expert Divisional Round Bets (Jan. 20, Saturday)

I have my eye on two player props for my NFL picks & predictions on Saturday in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. Check out the two unders that I'm betting in the prop market below.

GameTime (ET)Pick
4:30 p.m.
4:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

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Saturday, Jan. 20
4:30 p.m. ET
ESPN | ABC
Xavier Hutchinson Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Hutchinson has 15 or fewer receiving yards in 15 of 17 games this season and 11 or fewer in 13 of 17.

The rookie receiver only had 32% route participation against the Browns, and that was with Noah Brown (19%) and Robert Woods (32%) getting hurt in the middle of the game. Woods is off the injury report, John Metchie broke out and might have left Hutchinson as the No. 4 receiver for this game.

Hutchinson also has been targeted on just 11.3% of his routes this season. That’s the lowest of any Texans pass-catcher who’s projected to get significant snaps. Collins, Woods, Metchie and TE Dalton Schultz are all over 18%.

CB Marlon Humphrey is out for the Ravens, which means WR1 Nico Collins will only have an easier matchup.

Bet to: 8.5.

Pick: Xavier Hutchinson Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
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Saturday, Jan. 20
4:30 p.m. ET
ESPN | ABC
Devin Singletary Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Singletary has 13 or fewer receiving yards in 15 of 18 games played this season. Two of the three times he went over also came in games that C.J. Stroud missed or didn’t finish.

Singletary has been targeted on 12.9% of his routes overall, but the numbers with Stroud under center are less impressive.

  1. This season, 32 of Stroud’s 497 pass attempts (6.4%) have gone to Singletary.
  2. Only 57 of those 497 pass attempts (11.4%) have gone to running backs.
  3. On the season, 70 of Singletary’s 197 receiving yards came with Case Keenum or Davis Mills are quarterback.
  4. Singletary is averaging 4.0 yards per target with Stroud under center compared to 7.8 with Keenum or Mills.

Bet to: 14.5

Pick: Devin Singletary Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

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