Monday Night Football in Week 11 features an exciting matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.
- For more Monday Night Football coverage, check out our Cowboys vs Raiders preview.
For my top Cowboys vs Raiders NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting CeeDee, Geno Smith, and Brock Bowers.
CeeDee Lamb
Less Than 89.5 Receiving Yards
In three games since returning from a hamstring injury, CeeDee Lamb hasn't missed a beat. He's commanded 30 targets and hauled in 19 of them.
However, he's had fewer chunk gains over his last two games, which have led to him not exceeding this total. Lamb is poised to do so again as the Raiders secondary is underrated.
They rank 14th in yards per pass allowed and 12th in ADOT allowed. That means they do not allow many plays down the field. This should negate another high-volume outing from Lamb.
Geno Smith
Less Than 0.5 Interceptions
It's no secret that the Cowboys secondary has been bad this year. They come into this matchup 28th in opponent completion percentage and 31st in yards per pass allowed.
They've also not forced many turnovers as they rank 26th in interception rate. This kind of matchup creates value on Geno Smith, who has the league's highest interception rate.
While Smith has gotten a lot of flak for his interceptions this season, a closer look shows he's been unlucky at times, too.
He has a bad throw rate of just 11 percent, which is five percent lower than Detroit's Jared Goff, who has thrown the fewest interceptions this season.
Brock Bowers
Less Than 6.5 Receptions
Lastly, we turn our attention to Smith's top target, Brock Bowers.
We know the Raiders' passing attack has a great matchup tonight against the Dallas defense, but if there's one man the Cowboys will make a concerted effort to take away, it's Bowers.
Bowers' breakout game against Jacksonville, where he hauled in 12 passes and scored three times, is a true outlier, as that is his only game where he's caught more than five passes this season.
Bowers is a quality-over-quantity type of playmaker, and that should remain the case tonight, even in a good matchup. This reception total is too high.
