Sunday Night Football in Week 11 features a potential NFC playoff preview between the Detroit Lions and the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pa.
- For more Sunday Night Football coverage, check out our Lions vs Eagles preview, which includes two picks for SNF.
For my top Lions vs Eagles NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting Jared Goff, Jalen Hurts, and Kalif Raymond.
Jared Goff
More Than 0.5 Interceptions
This first pick is all about probability and opportunity.
Jared Goff is the standard for a professional quarterback, and what's made him successful in Detroit is his ability to minimize mistakes. However, he's overdue to make one.
Goff averages 4.7 bad throws per game, which is about 16 percent of his attempts. The Eagles have been unlucky in the interception department this season, ranking 22nd in opponent interception rate.
Given that the Lions are underdogs, a trailing game script points to more pass attempts for Goff, which means more chances for him to get picked off.
Goff has been intercepted just three times this season, but there's good value on him throwing his fourth tonight.
Jalen Hurts
Less Than Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Next, we stay in the air, but switch sides and focus on Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts. The Eagles have gotten back on track, rattling off three straight wins, and it's no surprise that Hurts' play is aligned with their success.
However, when it comes to throwing touchdowns, Hurts has benefited from big plays as the Eagles have a clear tendency to run the ball in the red zone. Hurts averages just 2.6 red-zone pass attempts per game.
That low volume may be even lower tonight against a Detroit defense that ranks seventh in opponent completion percentage and fourth in sack rate.
Kalif Raymond
Less Than 19.5 Receiving Yards
To round out our picks tonight, we target Kalif Raymond, mainly because Jared Goff does not. Raymond has just 17 targets on the season, averaging 1.7 per game.
While the injury to Sam LaPorta opens up targets in the offense, Raymond is not the one to fill them. We're more likely to see Jameson Williams get the biggest bump.
Raymond has gone under this total in eight of nine games this season. Don't let last week fool you, his volatility will lead to another quiet night.
