Our NFL Luck Rankings have proven to be a highly successful tool for betting NFL sides and totals.
This year, we introduced Version 3.1 of our Luck Rankings as a way to continue to improve the methodology, as well as to simplify the thresholds and give you even better luck metrics.
Continuing from Version 3.0 is something called the "Luck Score." This single number will tell us whether a game has a significant luck factor.
In Version 3.1, if the Luck Score is 1.9 or higher, we'll consider that a luck-based side. A 1.5-1.9 is considered a lean and won't count toward official Luck Rankings statistics.
Last weekend, the unlucky team for the luck-based sides went 1-0 ATS, moving these to a 5-2 (71.4%) record on the season and 87-45 overall (65.9%)
For totals, a Luck Total above +1.5 (over) or below -1.5 (under) is considered official for Luck Rankings record keeping, but as in years past this doesn't start until Week 3.
Based on our Week 8 NFL Luck Rankings, we have the first (post-Week 1) luck-free slate since we introduced the Luck Rankings in 2022. Amazingly enough, there aren't even any "leans" this week for games that get close to our thresholds.
The closest things to a lean for a side would be the Jets as the unlucky side against Raiders, and the Ravens as the unlucky side against the Bills a close second. For a total, the Cardinals-Cowboys under is the only one close.
So, no breakdown of any games this week from me from the luck perspective. But here's the full slate listed below in case you are interested anyway!
