Packers vs 49ers Anytime Touchdown Props: Jayden Reed, Jordan Love, Elijah Mitchell TD Bets
Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Jayden Reed (left) and Jordan Love.
Packers vs 49ers Anytime Touchdown Props: Jayden Reed, Jordan Love, Elijah Mitchell
In the table below, you'll find each of Gilles Gallant's Packers vs 49ers Anytime Touchdown Props for the NFC Divisional Round on Saturday night. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific Packers-49ers Anytime TD bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
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Packers vs. 49ers
I’ve been banging this drum all year — if there’s one “weakness” for the 49ers defense, it’s shifty slot receivers getting the touchdowns. Jordan Addison, Zay Flowers, Christian Kirk, DeVonta Smith and Tyler Boyd are some of the receivers who had big games against San Francisco.
If I’m betting on a Packers player, I’m immediately looking at Jayden Reed. The rookie receiver not only fits the profile, but he’s done pretty well against zone coverage, which the Niners play at an above-league-average rate.
Romeo Doubs has great metrics against zone coverage, but I’d rather go with Reed given his rushing ability (two rushing TDs) and that he lines up in the slot more than Doubs.
Pick: Jayden Reed Anytime Touchdown (+225)
Sportsbooks aren’t going to give you anything free and that includes value on 49ers TD scorers. Four of the top-five options to bet are Niners, with each of them at +150 or lower. RB Christian McCaffrey is as short as -400 at some sportsbooks.
Of that group, I’d lean toward George Kittle at +145 because the Packers weren’t great coming into the playoffs stopping TEs (28th in DVOA) and just allowed Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson to score three times. Still, it’s hard to feel great about it since Kittle could have a quiet game while the Niners still win very easily.
Instead, I’d rather lean into the blowout angle. If the Niners are this big of a favorite and have nearly 30 points expected, take a flier on RB2 Elijah Mitchell at +550. You could even lean into the angle even more and make a second-half ATD bet at +1600. He scored in each of the 49ers' last two regular-season games heading into the playoffs.
Pick: Elijah Mitchell Anytime Touchdown (+550)
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Nick Giffen and I locked in Love on Monday at +1200. Part of it was an odds play, but another factor is that he had four rushing TDs this season and the Niners rank 15th in DVOA against the run compared to fourth in DVOA against the pass.
It’s dropped to +1000, and that’s my cutoff price.
Pick: Jordan Love Anytime Touchdown (+1300)
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