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Packers vs Cowboys Picks, Props, Odds, Predictions for Sunday Night Football

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Imagn/Action Network. Pictured: Josh Jacobs, George Pickens, Jordan Love, Javonte Williams.

The Dallas Cowboys (1-2) host the Green Bay Packers (2-1) in the Week 4 edition of Sunday Night Football on Sept 28. Packers vs Cowboys from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas is set for an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff. Sunday Night Football will broadcast on NBC.

The Packers are 6.5-point favorites over the Cowboys on the spread (Packers -6.5), with the over/under set at 47.5 total points. Green Bay is a -320 favorite to win outright on the moneyline; Dallas is +260 to pull of the upset.

Continue below for our Packers vs Cowboys picks for Sunday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, game total, and three player props.

Playbook

Packers vs Cowboys Predictions & Picks

GameTime (ET)Best Bet
Green Bay Packers LogoDallas Cowboys Logo
8:20 p.m.
Green Bay Packers LogoDallas Cowboys Logo
8:20 p.m.
Green Bay Packers LogoDallas Cowboys Logo
8:20 p.m.
Green Bay Packers LogoDallas Cowboys Logo
8:20 p.m.
Green Bay Packers LogoDallas Cowboys Logo
8:20 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Sunday Night Football Odds

  • Packers vs Cowboys Moneyline: Packers -320, Cowboys +260
  • Packers vs Cowboys Total: 46.5
  • Packers vs Cowboys Spread: Packers -6.5, Cowboys +6.5

Packers vs Cowboys Odds via bet365

Packers vs Cowboys Against the Spread Prediction

Packers Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Logo
Packers -6.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Kyle Murray

The Packers are coming off of a brutal showing in Week 2, when they scored just 10 points in a loss to the Browns.

However, things are looking bleak for the Cowboys entering Week 3. Dallas was just run out of Solider Field in Week 2; it has one of the worst defenses in football, and will have to play on Sunday Night Football without CeeDee Lamb and offensive lineman Tyler Booker.

Pick: Packers -6.5 (-110)


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Packers vs Cowboys Over/Under Prediction

Packers Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Logo
Under 47.5 (-115)
DraftKings Logo

By Billy Ward

The Cowboys dropped 40 points against the Giants, but otherwise have averaged just 17 points per game on the young season. That was mostly with a healthy CeeDee Lamb, who is out tonight as the Cowboys take on the toughest defense they’ve faced all year in the Packers.

The Cowboys best (and only) hope of moving the ball is on the ground, where the Packers are comparatively weaker defensively.

Dallas has been one of the better run-blocking teams in the league this season, ranking third in adjusted line yards, but 18th in adjusted sack rate.

The problem with that approach is that the game script is unlikely to allow the seven-point underdogs to run the ball for long. Even if they do, that slows the game down and limits the total play volume.

On the other side, Green Bay has played at a bottom-five pace this season.

If the Cowboys offense can’t generate any big plays, there’s no reason for the Packers to take any chances and push the pace. They’re comfortable leaning on the ground game and killing clock in games where they’re in the lead, which is likely to be the case here.

I’m also slightly worried about the Packers' offensive line, which has one starter ruled out and another doubtful. It’s not a huge concern against an iffy Cowboys defense, but it certainly doesn’t help Green Bay.

I’m not sure where the market expects the points to come from with a reasonably high 47.5 total at DraftKings. I’ll take the under at -115.

Pick: Under 47.5 (-115)


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Packers vs Cowboys Anytime Touchdown Props

Packers Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Logo
George Pickens Anytime Touchdown (+160)
bet365 Logo

By Grant Neiffer

The Cowboys will be without CeeDee Lamb in this game, and that should mean a big uptick for George Pickens.

The Cowboys may struggle to score against a stout Packers defense, but playing in a dome should help — as a 7-point 'dog, Dallas should be throwing the ball heavily.

Pickens has picked things up after a tough Week 1, with five receptions and a touchdown in each of the last two games. He's near the top of the league in red-zone targets (seven), and I can only expect an increase in volume without Lamb.

I have Pickens' true odds around +120.

Pick: George Pickens Anytime Touchdown (+160)


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Packers vs Cowboys Player Props

Packers Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Logo
Jake Ferguson Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Brit Devine

This is a 2-unit bet for me, which I note because my bets of 2+ units are 12-3 this season.

After back-to-back games of 12 and 14 targets with 78 and 82 yards, I was expecting this line for Jake Ferguson to come in around 60 yards.

I'm not exactly sure where this opened, but I do know that 53.5 is very far off from my expectations. The Packers have allowed the third-most targets, receptions, and yards to TEs over the first three games and the eighth-most yards to the position last season.

I'm not sure what the books see here that I don't — this seems that they aren't factoring in enough how condensed the Cowboys' target tree becomes without CeeDee Lamb.

Pick: Jake Ferguson Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-110); bet to 53.5


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Packers vs Cowboys Player Props

Packers Logo
Sunday, Sep 28
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Logo
Tucker Kraft Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
DraftKings Logo

By Kyle Murray

Tucker Kraft had a bit of an injury scare in practice last week, but he was able to play in Week 3.

Despite worries of him being limited, he ran a route on 23-of-31 Jordan Love dropbacks. The Packers' offense struggled all game against the Browns, and Kraft wasn't able to get anything going, but he still caught two passes for 29 yards.

He gets a much better matchup here against a Cowboys defense that has been absolutely horrible.

Kraft should be in even better shape health-wise with another week under his belt, and he should be in line for solid volume with Jayden Reed out.

Pick: Tucker Kraft Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)


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