The NFL Wild Card Sunday tripleheader concludes with a matchup between the New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. This game will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock at 8:15 p.m. ET.
- For more NFL playoff coverage, check out our Patriots vs Chargers preview, which includes four picks and props for this AFC showdown.
Continue below for Patriots vs Chargers odds and my Patriots vs Chargers parlay, which includes three correlated player props.
Patriots vs Chargers Parlay
- Chargers Moneyline (+165)
- DeMario Douglas Over 1.5 Receptions (-137)
- Austin Hooper Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Parlay Odds: +675 (DraftKings)
Patriots vs Chargers Odds
| Chargers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -112 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | +164 |
| Patriots Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -108 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -192 |
- Patriots vs Chargers Moneyline: Chargers+164, Patriots -192
- Patriots vs Chargers Over/Under: 45.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Patriots vs Chargers Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-112), Patriots -3.5 (-108)
Patriots vs Chargers Preview, Parlay Pick
Chargers Moneyline
The Chargers are very live in this matchup, and the market has bought them at 3.5, causing multiple moves to three. While the spread has been moved back to 3.5 at the time of writing, it would not surprise me to see this game close at three or even 2.5.
Yes, the Patriots have to be given credit for putting together a tremendous season, but they did so against the weakest schedule in the league, whereas the Chargers were continually tested this season and picked up some very notable wins.
However, it's the Chargers defense that is going to keep them in this game. They outrank the Pats in EPA per play allowed and are third in EPA per rush allowed.
Slowing down the Patriots' rushing attack is key as they thrive on third-and-manageable situations, although we've seen New England struggle in shorter fields, ranking 16th in red-zone scoring rate while the Chargers defense is third in red-zone scoring rate allowed, and fifth in opponent third-down conversion rate.
If the defense can remain stout, the Chargers offense will have plenty of opportunities to string drives together against a Patriots defense that is 25th in completion percentage allowed and 30th in red-zone scoring rate.
DeMario Douglas Over 1.5 Receptions
This potential trailing game script will for the Patriots to open up their offense, and with Kayshon Boutte looking likely to be out, there will be plenty of opportunities for more reliable veterans to step up.
The first being DeMario Douglas. Douglas is the definition of consistency in the Patriots' offense as he received a limited target share, but hauled in 67 percent of those targets.
He averaged three looks per game, leading him to surpass this mark in 10-of-17 games. However, with a volume increase expected, he should crush this number tonight.
Austin Hooper Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
The next guy to target is often an afterthought in the Patriots offense, but that has allowed him to make big plays all season long, even with just one target. Austin Hooper has averaged 16 receiving yards per game despite only averaging 1.6 targets per game.
He is more than a capable receiver, and that gets hidden in all the two-tight-end sets that the Patriots run. He doesn't need Hunter Henry to be off the field to make an impact, but a trailing game script will certainly help his chances of being targeted.
Look for Hooper to make one big splash and exceed this total for the 11th time this season.
Patriots vs Chargers Parlay
- Chargers Moneyline (+165)
- DeMario Douglas Over 1.5 Receptions (-137)
- Austin Hooper Over 8.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Parlay Odds: +600 (DraftKings)
