The Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) and Green Bay Packers (5-2-1) close Week 10 on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The game will broadcast live on ESPN and ABC.
The Packers are 1-point favorites on the spread over the Eagles (Packers -1), with the over/under set at 45.5 points. The Packers are -115 moneyline favorites and the Eagles are -105 underdogs.
Let's get into my Monday Night Football preview and Eagles vs Packers prediction for November 10.
Eagles vs Packers Prediction
- Eagles vs Packers pick: Packers -1; bet to -2.5
My Eagles vs Packers best bet is the Packers to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Eagles vs Packers Odds
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 45.5 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Eagles vs Packers Monday Night Football Preview
Ultimately, I'm okay backing a Packers team that I consider to be the best team in the NFC at home after a bad loss at under a field goal against an Eagles team that has been pretty fortunate this season.
The Eagles were fortunate to come away with victories over the Chiefs (Travis Kelce dropped touchdown that turned into an interception), Rams (blocked field goals) and Vikings (couldn't score in the red zone). This could easily be a four-win Eagles team with major warts on both sides of the ball instead of 6-2 with five one-possession victories.
The Philadelphia offense has been incredibly inconsistent. Am I sold on things being different because it shredded a completely decimated Giants defense that ranks worst in the league against the run? Absolutely not.
Is there a chance the Eagles figured some things out during the bye week?
Sure, but I need to see it for a full 60 minutes against a legitimate defense before I believe it under new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo.
The defense still at least has the amazing Vic Fangio calling the shots, which is always a nice luxury to have. However, due to some of the offseason losses, this has been a league average unit by almost every measure.
The Eagles aren't generating pressure at an elite level and they have quite a few holes on the back end. General manager Howie Roseman was predictably a bit aggressive at the trade deadline, adding Michael Carter and Jaelan Phillips to that side of the ball.
Is there a chance Carter can move to the slot and allow Cooper DeJean to shift outside to address the major issues Philly has had at the CB2 spot?
It's possible. And Phillips could provide some more juice off the edge, but it remains a work in progress, especially at safety, which Green Bay can take full advantage of downfield even with some lingering injury questions at wide receiver.
As for the Packers, they are coming off a shocking home loss to the Panthers as double-digit favorites.
However, I have not wavered in my preseason stance that Green Bay is the class of the NFC. It's the NFL, where flukey results happen every week.
After all, the Packers didn't even punt a single time in that game against the Panthers. I do think head coach Matt LaFleur has a tendency to get too conservative against inferior teams, which has burned him in the past. But that won't be an issue tonight against Philadelphia in a game that could have massive NFC playoff seeding implications.
Despite some of the narratives out there, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has been incredible, whether he's facing man or zone. The Packers offense is almost matchup proof.
Conversely, the Eagles have really struggled against zone-coverage looks, which they will see plenty of in this particular matchup. On the season, Green Bay has played man coverage on less than 20% of its snaps.
That could spell trouble for Jalen Hurts, who has a 39% success rate vs. zone compared to north of 50% vs. man. For reference, Love sits above 50% against both.
The loss of Tucker Kraft hurts the Packers, but I don't think he would've been as effective in this particular matchup. The Eagles are elite when it comes to mitigating the impact of opposing tight ends.
This is a massive game in terms of NFC playoff positioning, especially for the Packers, who find themselves in a battle in the ultra-competitive NFC North. With a win, the Packers would move into the No. 2 seed. With a loss? All the way down to No. 7.
Eagles vs Packers Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Packers can generate pressure without blitzing and shouldn't have to worry too much about a struggling Eagles rushing attack.
Saquon Barkley is still Saquon Barkley, but the Eagles offensive line has regressed since last season — especially the interior — and will still be without Cam Jurgens.
Following a loss, Matt LaFleur has gone 11-4 (73.7%) against the spread (ATS) at home. In home games, he is 33-20 (62.3%), covering by 2.5 points per game.
That includes a 9-3 ATS mark against teams with a winning percentage of 70% or greater, with a 6.5-point average cover margin.
Pick: Packers -1; bet to -2.5
Spread
I'm undeterred by the Packers' bad loss to the Panthers and I am taking Green Bay to cover at home.
Moneyline
I have no bet for the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no bet for the game total.
