EDGE

Best NFL Week 4 Player Props: Saquon Barkley Over/Under 55.5 Receiving Yards

Sep 30, 2018 10:22 AM EDT
  • We use the FantasyLabs Player Props Tool to highlight five props with betting value in Week 4.
  • This piece will analyze the following props: RB James White's receptions, WR Josh Gordon's receiving yards, RB Saquon Barkley's receiving yards, WR Michael Gallup's receiving yards and QB Matt Ryan's passing touchdowns.

Player props can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so it’s not as imperative for the sportsbooks to hang accurate lines.

This is where the FantasyLabs’ Player Props Tool comes in handy.

We take each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverage them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

Each prop bet then receives a grade, with 10 being the absolute best.

Our Props Tool has been killing it to start the season, with props graded a 10 covering at a 60.0% clip (60-36) against the closing number.

Here’s a sampling of five props offering betting value according to our tool.


>> Check out the FantasyLabs Prop Tool to see all of the NFL Week 4 prop bets offering value according to our industry-leading projections. All odds referenced here are as of 10 a.m. ET on Sunday.


Patriots RB James White

The pick: Over 3.5 receptions (-200 @ 5Dimes)

Rex Burkhead joined Jeremy Hill on injured reserve this week, so things are looking thin for this Patriots backfield in Week 4.

One data point I am paying attention to is pass protection. White is the 11th-highest graded running back in that category this season, whereas Sony Michel is merely 31st.

So it is pretty clear who will continue to see the majority of the usage in passing situations.

White is already averaging 4.7 receptions per game this season, so this prop seems pretty safe even after taking into consideration the juice.

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Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Saquon Barkley

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