The Seattle Seahawks (5-2) and Washington Commanders (3-5) meet in Week 9 Sunday Night Football on Nov. 2. Kickoff is set for in 8:20 p.m. ET from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. Seahawks vs Commanders will broadcast on NBC.
The Seahawks are 3-point spread favorites over the Commanders (Seahawks -3; -102), with an over/under of 48.5. Seattle is a -160 moneyline favorite; Washington is +135 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sunday Night Football preview and Seahawks vs Commanders prediction.
Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction, Pick
- Seahawks vs Commanders pick: Commanders +3
My Seahawks vs Commanders best bet is the Commanders to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Seahawks vs Commanders Odds
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3 -102 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3 -118 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
Sunday Night Football Preview
Note: All data is from FTN unless otherwise noted.
The Seahawks have exceeded all expectations this season, compiling a 5-2 record and ranking second in overall DVOA.
However, the Commanders enter this home matchup both underrated and desperate. Despite a 3-5 record and three missed games by Jayden Daniels, the Commanders rank 11th in overall DVOA.
The key for the Commanders is the return of Daniels, who has thrown eight touchdowns against just one interception; Marcus Mariota has tossed four TDs and four picks. Daniels has posted a 54.5% success rate and 11 first downs on the ground, compared to a 50.0% success rate and five first downs for Mariota.
Seattle runs a sound, zone-heavy scheme, so Daniels' willingness and ability to scramble even when the defense has eyes on him are paramount. Daniels leads all qualified quarterbacks with a 15.8% scramble rate versus zone coverage.
As for the Seahawks, Sam Darnold has been excellent this season — but this may be the peak of his value. Darnold averages 7.1 YPA for his career and can't be expected to keep up his 9.1 mark.
While Washington being without Terry McLaurin (quad) is nothing new — he's already missed four games — Darnold could be without pass-catchers of significance for the first time all season, as three-fifths of his wide receiving corps could miss tonight after Cooper Kupp (questionable- hamstring) was downgraded to a DNP on Friday, while Jake Bobo (Achilles) and Dareke Young (quad) have already been ruled out.
Washington plays man coverage at the 10th-highest rate (44.9%), and a man-heavy scheme is more vulnerable to wide receivers than tight ends or running backs.
Seahawks vs Commanders Prediction, Spread Betting Analysis
According to Action Labs, this will be the eighth time Sam Darnold is favored on the road by a field goal or more. In the previous seven games, Darnold is 2-4-1 (33.3%) ATS, failing to cover by 5.8 points per game.
Washington enters having dropped three in a row after a 3-2 start, and per our Action Labs data, underdogs since 2003 on a three-game straight-up losing streak are 233-169-11 (58%) ATS in their next game.
The Commanders also coming off a 28-7 loss to the Chiefs. Per Action Labs, home 'dogs since 2005 coming off a 20-plus-point loss are 165-127-9 (56.5%) ATS in their next game.
Pick: Commanders +3
Spread
My Sunday Night Football spread pick is Commanders +3.
Moneyline
If the spread drops below +3, the Commanders moneyline is an option.
According to Action Labs, home underdogs on three-game SU losing streaks in Games 6-10 or 14-16 are 41-43 (49%) SU for a 64% ROI since 2003.
Over/Under
I have no play on the game total.
Seahawks vs Commanders Betting Trends
Seahawks vs Commanders Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md. |
| Date: | Sunday, Nov. 2 |
| Time: | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | NBC |
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