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Super Bowl 54 Betting Tip: Should You Take the Moneyline on a 1-Point 49ers vs. Chiefs Spread?


Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

For the second straight year, the Super Bowl spread sits inside of a field goal. That means for the second straight year, the decision for bettors basically comes down to which team will win the game.

That’s especially the case this year, given the 1/1.5-point spread (last year’s closed between 2 and 2.5), but in any case, with such a short margin separating the teams many bettors are probably asking themselves whether they should be taking the spread or the moneyline.

And that’s a very smart question to ask.

If you’re betting the Chiefs, you’d hate to see Mahomes squeak out a 1-point win and be unable to partake in the celebration because you didn’t buy up just a few cents.

Niners backers, on the other hand, are basically banking on a San Francisco win anyway, so why not give up the point for an increased payout? I mean, what are the odds that point will actually matter?

Funny you (I) should ask.

Using Bet Labs, we’re able to track down how often 1/1.5-point spreads actually come into play, which should help you decide how to approach Sunday’s game.

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