NHL Odds, Player Props & Predictions: 4 Bets for Monday, Including Nathan MacKinnon, Jake Guentzel (May 9)
Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Nathan MacKinnon.
- Monday's NHL slate features two games, which means there are plenty of player props to bet on.
- Nick Martin sees value on four players in Monday's game, including Nathan MacKinnon and Jake Guentzel.
- Check out all four of Martin's picks and breakdowns below.
Monday’s NHL slate features another four playoff games, which means there are plenty of player props that hold betting value.
From Penguins vs. Rangers and Capitals vs. Panthers at 7 p.m. ET to Stars vs. Flames and Predators vs. Avalanche at 9:30 p.m. ET, we’ll take stock of four players with solid matchups.
Here are my favorite player props for tonight’s excellent slate of Stanley Cup playoff games.
Nathan MacKinnon Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-110 | Play to -120)
As we have consistently seen from MacKinnon throughout his brilliant career, he seems to reserve another gear for the postseason. The fact he has the highest playoff points-per-game mark of active players is pretty firm evidence of that.
MacKinnon has been all over it this series, with 20 shots on goal on 30 attempts after managing nine shots on goal against Nashville in his regular season finale.
Nashville will do all it can to clog it up and avoid a sweep on home ice, but we saw the Predators still allow a wealth of attempts, leading to 7.57 expected goals against in Game 3. That essentially came with the same do-or-die narratives in place.
I think we’ll see MacKinnon put together another strong contest here as his team looks to close it out.
Anthony Mantha Over 2.5 Shots on Goal ( +100 | Play to -110)
Mantha has been a crucial part of the Capitals’ surprising 2-1 start against the Panthers and was an absolute force again on Saturday, registering four shots and two assists alongside some heavy forechecking.
Mantha managed 15 shots on goal in five games vs. a tight-checking Bruins club in last year’s postseason. He’s managed 10 in the opening three games of this series.
He has been elevated to a second line role again in Tom Wilson’s absence, and his unit with Marcus Johansson and Nicklas Backstrom has been very effective so far in this series.
Mantha rightfully has a shooter’s mentality and will fire his heavy shot from mid-range more often than most. It helps that he’s playing reasonable minutes on a line that has been strong.
It’s easy to see why he’s averaging well over three shots on goals in the series, and I’m happy to take a plus number for him to do it again tonight.
Jonathan Huberdeau Over 2.5 Shots (-125 | Play to -130)
Even with some Capitals bias here, it’s pretty reasonable to expect Florida to find another gear and manage a high output of attempts on goal in Game 4. I’m torn on a few of Florida’s regular shot producers as targets, but I feel the most confident with Huberdeau.
Huberdeau has attempted 16 shots throughout the opening three games of the series, managing 10 on goal and cashing this line in two out of three.
We know he’s more of a pass-first player, but I’m expecting a lot of touches for Hubie tonight. And if the game remains close, head coach Andrew Brunette will likely lean on his top point producer more often as the Panthers look to avoid a 3-1 hole.
Jake Guentzel Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+115 | Play to +105)
We missed on this in Game 3, but as always, a big part of playing these shot props is just riding with situations that should be profitable over a large sample of games.
For me, backing Guentzel to put four shots on net in this series at +115 is a proposition that clearly holds value. His line with Bryan Rust and Sidney Crosby has been dominant, and he’s always going to get some attempts on the power-play unit outside of that.
Over the last five seasons, only Alex Ovechkin has produced more playoff goals than Guentzel, and as you would expect, that has consistently come with lots of shots on the net.
Excluding the shots in overtime of Game 1, Guentzel has averaged 4.66 in this series after averaging 4.16 against a stingy Islanders club in last year’s postseason.