Ducks vs Blackhawks Prediction: NHL Odds, Preview for Tuesday, March 12
Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Brett Leason of the Anaheim Ducks and Connor Bedard of the Chicago Blackhawks.
Ducks vs. Blackhawks Odds
| Ducks Odds | -105 |
| Blackhawks Odds | -115 |
| Over / Under | 6 +100o / -120u |
Here's everything you need to know about Ducks vs Blackhawks on Tuesday, March 12 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
Connor Bedard will look to follow up his fourth multi-goal game of his young career Tuesday, as the Blackhawks host the struggling Anaheim Ducks.
With two wins over their last three games, the Blackhawks are now tied with San Jose, which is an important note as we get closer to the draft lottery.
These teams respective fanbases might not be rooting for wins at this point, but we know the players in this game would love to find some production in what oddsmakers are saying should be a fairly open matchup.
Anaheim has put up a mark of 5-8-1 since the All-Star break, and owns a league worst 37.72 expected goal percentage in that span. They have allowed 34.82 shots against per 60, which has led to 4.21 actual goals against per game over a 14-game sample.
The Ducks have had some significant pieces out of the lineup for many of those games, such as Troy Terry, Mason MacTavish, Leo Carlsson, and Trevor Zegras.
Terry and MacTavish will be back in the lineup tonight. Both Carlsson and Zegras are expected to return soon, and it will be worth monitoring Anaheim's morning skate as a result.
The Ducks' 888 penalty minutes this season lead the NHL. They have killed off just 75.2% of penalties over the entirety of the season, which is the fifth-worst mark in the league.
John Gibson is projected to be Anaheim's starting goaltender in this matchup. He has played to a -0.7 GSAx and .896 save % across 40 appearances.
The Hawks have two wins over their last three games, as they took advantage of a Coyotes team that has struggled mightily of late for 12 goals. Now Bedard and company will hope to follow a similar script versus a Ducks team that is playing downright awful on the defensive side of things.
Bedard has been in strong form since returning from a broken jaw, with 13 points in 12 games. He played one of his best games in the NHL last time out, with two goals, an assist and seven shots.
Andreas Athanasiou took morning skate alongside Tyler Johnson and Taylor Raddysh, and does appear likely to return to the lineup.
In 15 games since the All-Star break, Chicago has allowed 3.53 xGA/60 and allowed 3.73 goals against where it matters.
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Ducks vs. Blackhawks
Betting Pick & Prediction
This should be a good environment for the superstar talents on both sides to shine, and I believe it will be more high-event than oddsmakers are expecting.
The Ducks have played a surprising amount of low-event games recently but are still one of the NHL's very worst sides defensively. They will have some key forwards in the lineup tonight that they haven't had for most of their recent sample of play, but that still will not raise their defensive upside much.
FanDuel's total of 5.5 at -130 is too low for me, and I believe there is value on the over. It's also important to note over 6 goals at +100 equates to over 5.5 at -135, which means FanDuel's price is the best regulated number I am seeing.
This also looks like a good spot to back Bedard staying hot. He has faced a tough slate recently, and his side has drawn very few power plays in a number of recent matchups. As you would expect, he has found success in soft matchups, like we saw versus Arizona.
Over the last 20 games, the Ducks have allowed 23 power play goals against. Their power play has been dreadful, and losing Henrique won't help that flaw.
Bedard is priced at +150 to score a goal, and that is a good price given the matchup.
Pick: Over 5.5 -130 (FanDuel, Play to -140), Bedard Anytime Goal +150 (FanDuel, Play to +140)
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