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Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, March 5

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, March 5 article feature image
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Crystal Palace (9-11-8) and Tottenham Hotspur (7-13-8) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.

Tottenham is favored at a +135 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-130o / -102u) goals.

Let's get into my Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham prediction.

Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Prediction

Pick: Both Teams To Score
My Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham best bet is on both teams to score at least one goal.

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Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Pick

Pick: Both Teams To Score — Yes

Tottenham’s defensive issues have been a constant problem and have not improved under new manager Igor Tudor. The team enters this match with goals conceded in eight of its last nine Premier League games, a stretch where matches have averaged 3.44 total goals. The defensive frailties were on full display in their recent 2-1 loss to Fulham, a game where they allowed an expected goals (xG) figure of 2.28. This inability to secure the backline makes a clean sheet seem unlikely.

Spurs have now gone ten top-flight games without a victory and are in danger of setting a club record for their longest Premier League winless streak. With only four points separating them from the relegation zone, the pressure to attack and score is immense, which often leaves them exposed. This season, they have conceded an average of 1.82 goals per game, a number that should encourage the Crystal Palace attack.

For their part, Crystal Palace has demonstrated they can score against tough competition on the road, as seen in their recent trip to Manchester United. The bet for both teams to score has cashed in five of their last seven league contests. While not a high-powered offense, they should find opportunities against a disorganized Tottenham defense that has earned the fewest home points in the entire Premier League.

Playbook

Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Projections

Projected Chance of Winning

Crystal PalaceDrawTottenham
31.0%28.8%42.1%

Projected Total Goals

Crystal PalaceTotal GoalsTottenham
1.122.491.37

Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Betting Analysis

This matchup presents a classic clash of a desperate home team against a confident road opponent. Tottenham’s home form is atrocious, with just two wins and ten points from 14 matches at their own stadium. They have lost six of their last seven London derbies at home, a trend that does not inspire confidence. The pressure of a relegation battle often forces teams to take risks, which could lead to an open, high-scoring affair.

Crystal Palace, meanwhile, has a stellar record in away derbies, with only one loss in their last nine such matches. Manager Oliver Glasner also holds a tactical edge over his counterpart, Igor Tudor, having won both of their previous meetings when their former clubs met in the Champions League. This history suggests Palace will have a well-drilled game plan to exploit Tottenham’s weaknesses.

Historically, this fixture has produced a winner, with no draws in the last ten head-to-head encounters. While the last three meetings have resulted in a shutout for the winning side, Tottenham's current defensive collapse makes a repeat unlikely. An interesting trend to note is the timing of goals; Palace has conceded the majority of their goals in the second half, while Spurs have scored most of their goals after halftime, which could set up a dramatic finish.

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