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European Soccer Forecast: Projected Odds, Totals for Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A & More (Jan. 2-4)

European Soccer Forecast: Projected Odds, Totals for Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A & More (Jan. 2-4) article feature image

Ash Donelon/Manchester United via Getty Images. Pictured: Marcus Rashford.

The busiest part of the European club soccer calendar continues this weekend as the Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A and La Liga are in action.

Here are the highlights of what we saw the last time each of these leagues were in action:

  • Chelsea was held to a 1-1 draw with Aston Villa at home, keeping them outside of the top four.
  • Marcus Rashford scored a 94th-minute winner to give Manchester United a 1-0 victory over Wolves, moving them up to second place in the Premier League table.
  • Liverpool was held to a 0-0 draw at Newcastle, which dropped their lead in the Premier League down to only three points.
  • Union Berlin upset Dortmund, 2-1, to drop Dortmund out of the top four in the Bundesliga table.
  • Robert Lewandowski scored a 93rd-minute winner against Bayer Leverkusen to send Bayern Munich to the top of the Bundesliga.
  • Both Real Madrid and Barcelona were held to 1-1 draws against bottom-of-the-table clubs, while Atletico beat Getafe 1-0. As a result, Atletico now holds a two-point lead at the top of the La Liga table.
  • Theo Hernandez scored a 92nd-minute winner for AC Milan to give them a 3-2 win over Lazio and keep their top spot in the table.
  • Juventus were upset 3-0 at home against Torino, dropping them to sixth place and 10 points behind AC Milan.

This is the busiest time of the year for these clubs, so managers will rotate their squads to rest certain players. Therefore, it may be a good idea to wait until starting lineups come out before heading to the window.

You can use these projections to identify early betting value on the opening lines, and follow me in The Action Network App to see any bets I make throughout the week.

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Premier League

Premier League Notes

  • Manchester United vs. Aston Villa: The Red Devils are on absolute fire at the moment, winning seven of their last nine Premier League matches. Aston Villa is also one of the hottest teams in the Premier League, outscoring their opponents 7-1 in their last five matches. It’s been over a decade since Aston Villa has beaten Manchester United in the Premier League. Can the Villans buck the trend?
  • Chelsea vs. Manchester City: Chelsea and Manchester City haven’t had the greatest starts to their respective Premier League seasons, as both are sitting outside the top four. Chelsea has only lost one home match, while Manchester City has only lost one road match. Something has to give.

Premier League Injury News

  • Arsenal: Gabriel (CB) and Thomas Partey (CM) are out against West Brom.
  • Burnley: Jack Cork (CM) and Johann Gudmundsson (CM) are doubtful to face Fulham.
  • Chelsea: Reece James (RB) is doubtful to play against Manchester City.
  • Crystal Palace: Gary Cahill (CB) is out against Sheffield United.
  • Everton: Lucas Digne (LB) and Fabian Delph (LB) are out against West Ham. James Rodriguez (CAM) is questionable. 
  • Leeds: Liam Cooper (CB) and Diego Llorente (CB) are both doubtful to face Tottenham. Mateusz Klich (CM) is questionable.
  • Liverpool: Diogo Jota (CF), Virgil Van Dijk (CB), Naby Keita (CM), Joe Gomez (CB), Joel Matip (CB) and Thiago (CM) are all out against Southampton.
  • Manchester City: Gabriel Jesus (ST), Eric Garcia (CB) and Kyle Walker (RB) are all out against Chelsea.
  • Manchester United: Edinson Cavani (ST) and Victor Lindelof (CB) are out against Aston Villa.
  • Newcastle: Jamaal Lascelles (CB) is questionable to face Leicester. Allen Saint-Maximin (ST) is doubtful.
  • Sheffield United: Oliver McBurnie (ST) is questionable. Sander Berge (CM) and Jack O’Connell (CB) are out against Crystal Palace.
  • Southampton: Jannik Vestergaard (CB) and Nathan Redmond (LM) are out against Liverpool.
  • Tottenham: Lucas (RW) is questionable to play against Leeds. Giovani Lo Celso (CM) and Gareth Bale (RM) are out. 
  • West Brom: Conor Townsend (LB) and Kyle Bartley (CB) are out against Leeds.
  • Wolves: Raul Jimenez (ST) is out against Brighton.


Bundesliga Notes

  • Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is currently sitting in fourth place in the Bundesliga and leads Dortmund by two points. Dortmund has surprisingly lost their last three matches at home, conceding 10 goals in the process. Wolfsburg only has one loss on the season and it came against Bayern Munich, so their fourth-place spot in the table is well earned. However, it’s been over five years since the last time Wolfsburg beat Dortmund in the Bundesliga.
Lars Baron/Getty Images. Pictured: Borussia Dortmund striker Erling Haaland.

Bundesliga Injury News

  • Augsburg: Raphael Framberger (RB) is questionable to face Koln.
  • Bayern Munich: Leon Goretzka (CM) and Kingsley Coman (LW) are questionable to play against Mainz.
  • Bayer Leverkusen: Charles Aranguiz (CM) and Sven Bender (CB) are out against Frankfurt. Lars Bender (RB) is questionable.
  • Borussia Dortmund:  Thorgan Hazard (CAM) is questionable to play against Wolfsburg.
  • Borussia Monchengladbach: Marcus Thuram (ST) is out against Arminia Bielefeld.
  • Frankfurt: Sebastian Rode (CM) is out against Leverkusen.
  • Freiburg: Janik Haberer (CM) is out against Hoffenheim.
  • Hertha Berlin: Dedryck Boyata (CB) is out against Schalke.
  • Hoffenheim: Stefan Posch (RB) and Diadie Samassekou (CM) are out against Freiburg.
  • Koln: Florian Kainz (RM) is questionable against Augsburg.
  • Mainz: Moussa Niakhate (CB) is out against Bayern Munich.
  • RB Leipzig: Christopher Nkunku (CAM) is questionable to face VfB Stuttgart.
  • Wolfsburg: Currently dealing with a COVID outbreak and could be without six starters on Sunday.

Serie A

Serie A Notes

  • Atalanta vs. Sassuolo: After a rough November, Atalanta is back in the race to get inside the top four, losing only one of their last eight games. Sassuolo has been the biggest surprise in Serie A, as they are currently sitting in fifth place. Even more surprising is they are unbeaten on the road this season. Atalanta has dominated Sassuolo over the past three years in Serie A, winning six straight matches over them.

Serie A Injury News

  • AC Milan: Theo Hernandez (LB) is out against Benevento. Zlatan Ibrahimovic (ST) is questionable. 
  • Cagliari: Marko Rog (RB) is out against Napoli. Diego Godin (CB) is questionable.
  • Crotone: Luca Cigarini (CM) is questionable to face Inter.
  • Fiorentina: Cristiano Biraghi (LB) is out against Bologna.
  • Genoa: Cristian Zapata (CB) is questionable to face Lazio.
  • Juventus: Juan Cuadrado (RW) and Alvaro Morata (ST) are out against Udinese.
  • Lazio: Joaquin Correa (ST), Mohamed Fares (LM) and Luca Leiva (CM) is questionable to face Genoa.
  • Napoli: Dries Mertens (CF) is questionable to face Cagliari.
  • Parma: Gervinho (ST) is questionable to face Torino.
  • Sampdoria: Keita Balde (ST) is out. Manuel Gabbiadini (CAM) is questionable to play against Roma.
  • Udinese: Rodrigo Becao (CB) is out against Juventus. Thomas Ouwejan (LM) and Stefano Okaka (ST) are questionable.
  • Verona: Nikola Kalinic (ST) and Matteo Lovato (CB) are questionable to face Spezia.

La Liga

La Liga Notes

  • Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Los Blancos are desperate for a win after drawing with Elche on Wednesday. Real Madrid is sitting two points behind Atletico Madrid, but their inner city rival has two games in hand. Celta Vigo is one of the hottest teams in Spain at the moment winning five of their last six matches.

    Oscar J. Barroso/AFP7/Europa Press Sports via Getty Images. Pictured: Karim Benzema of Real Madrid.

La Liga Injury News

  • Athletic Bilbao: Yeray Alvarez (CB) is questionable to face Elche.
  • Atletico Madrid: Kieran Trippier (RB) is out against Alaves.
  • Barcelona: Gerard Pique (CB) and Lionel Messi (CF) are questionable to play against Huesca. Philippe Coutinho (CAM), Sergi Roberto (RB) and Ansu Fati (LW) are out.
  • Cadiz: Jose Mari (CM) is questionable to face Valencia.
  • Granada: Luis Milla (CM) and Darwin Machis (LM) are both questionable to play against Eibar.
  • Huesca: Pablo Maffeo (RB) and Sandro Ramirez (ST) are both questionable to play against Barcelona.
  • Levante: Sergio Postigo (CB) is questionable to play against Villarreal.
  • Real Betis: Claudio Bravo (GK), Cristian Tello (LW), Marc Batra (CB), William Carvalho (CM), and Sergio Canales (CM) are all questionable to face Sevilla.
  • Real Madrid: Rodrygo (RM) is questionable to play against Celta Vigo.
  • Real Sociedad: Joseba Zaldua (CM), David Silva (CAM), and Adnan Januzaj (LM) are questionable to face Osasuna.
  • Valencia: Gabriel Paulista (CB) and Jasper Cillessen (GK) are questionable to face Cadiz.

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