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Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Leeds United vs. Leicester City (Monday, Nov. 2)

Credit:

Laurence Griffiths/Pool/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Leeds United standouts Patrick Bamford, left, and Hélder Costa.

  • Leeds United hosts red-hot Leicester City in Premier League action Monday at Elland Road.
  • The Foxes are looking to extend their winning streak to four games.
  • Jeremy Pond breaks down the odd for the match and gives his top plays.

Leeds vs. Leicester City Odds

Leeds Odds +155 [BET NOW]
Leicester Odds +165 [BET NOW]
Draw +255 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+112) [BET NOW]
Time 3 p.m. ET
TV NBCSN

Odds updated as of Sunday at 7:30 a.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Another exciting week of Premier League action concludes Monday when Leeds United hosts Leicester City at Elland Road.

The Peacocks, who are six matches into their return to England’s top flight, enter this match fresh off a convincing 3-0 victory over Aston Villa. On the other side, the Foxes notched a 1-0 shutout win over Arsenal in their most recent outing.

Leeds has enjoyed a nice start to its campaign, going 3-1-2 (10 points) through six fixtures, which is good enough for ninth place on the table. As for Leicester, it’s been another strong beginning for the club, which sits in sixth place with a 4-0-2 mark on 12 points.

This meeting has the makings of being a wildly entertaining contest, so let’s take a look at what could be in store.

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Leeds

It has been a lovely start for the Peacocks, who made their return to England’s top flight this season after a 16-year absence.

Leeds opened its campaign with two wins before a hard-earned draw against powerful Manchester City. A tough 1-0 loss to Wolverhampton followed, but the Peacocks rebounded nicely with that solid victory against Aston Villa.

Patrick Bamford has been Leeds’ top offensive threat, scoring six goals this season. Bamford’s total puts him just two back of Tottenham Hotspur’s Son Heung-min for the league lead.

The Peacocks have put together some decent offensive numbers thus far, sitting in the league’s top five with a solid 10.4 expected goals (xG). However, it’s 9.9 expected goals against (xGA) is one of the worst, putting them in a tie with Liverpool and Sheffield United for 15th place out of 20 teams.


Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.


Those statistics translate into a +0.5 expected goal difference (xGDiff) and +0.08 xGDiff/90 minutes, which puts the squad roughly in the middle of the league ranking in these categories.

Leicester City

It has been another impressive start for the Foxes, who are coming off a gutsy 2-1 win over Greek side AEK Athens in Europa League group play Thursday at Athens Olympic Stadium.

As for league performances, the Foxes opened their campaign with electric wins against Burnley and Manchester City before doing a surprising 180-degree turn. That reversal of fortune included consecutive shutout defeats against West Ham United and an upstart Aston Villa side, which finds itself tied with Chelsea and Leicester in terms of points.

The ever-reliable Jamie Vardy continues to carry the bulk of the offensive load, leading the Foxes with six goals this season.

When comparing statistical data, Leicester finds itself trailing Leeds in xGs (8.3) but is much better than its foe in xGA (6.5) thus far. In turn, the Foxes’ numbers result in a respectable +1.8 xGDiff and +0.30 xGDiff/90 minutes.

Betting Analysis

Leeds and Leicester both love to get after it on their respective attacks, which is going to lead to numerous scoring opportunities for both combatants.

That said, I am backing the total to go over the number and both teams to score in this affair.

The Peacocks have only been shut out once this season, thanks to Bamford and his talented supporting cast. Leicester has been just as good at finding the back, especially as of late. The Foxes have won three consecutive matches, which started with a 3-0 victory against Ukrainian side Zorya Luhansk in Europa action two weeks back and don’t seem to be letting off the pedal.

Throw in the fact these teams have only been shut out a combined three times in 10 league matches, and you have to like the possibility of this being a wide-open showdown at Elland Road.

Picks: Total Over 2.5 Goals (-139) | Both Teams To Score — Yes (-177)

[Bet the Leeds-Leicester City match at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.]

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