Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Hotspur Odds, Picks, Predictions: Eagles Should Give Spurs Fits (Sept. 11)

Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham Hotspur Odds, Picks, Predictions: Eagles Should Give Spurs Fits (Sept. 11) article feature image
Credit:

Sebastian Frej/MB Media/Getty Images. Pictured: Wilfried Zaha (left) and Patrick Vieira.

  • Crystal Palace welcomes unbeaten Tottenham Hotspur to Selhurst Park for Saturday's Premier League affair.
  • Spurs, who are heavy favorites entering this game, have won all three of their matches thus far.
  • Matthew Trebby explains below why he thinks Crystal Palace can get a result in this EPL matchup.

Crystal Palace vs. Spurs Odds

Crystal Palace Odds +310
Spurs Odds -105
Draw +250
Over/Under 2.5 (+105 / -125)
Day | Time Saturday | 7:30 a.m. ET
How To Watch NBCSN | fuboTV
Odds via DraftKings. Get live soccer odds here

Selhurst Park is the site for the first Premier League matchup of the weekend on Saturday when Crystal Palace hosts Tottenham Hotspur.

Palace went bold over the summer by hiring Patrick Vieira, and they finished the transfer window with a flourish by bringing in a new striker. After a couple encouraging performances, the Eagles could be poised for a surprise here against Tottenham.

Meanwhile, Spurs have scored three goals, conceded none and won all their three matches so far this season, which is very un-Spurs-like.

While their underlying statistics aren’t pretty, Tottenham have gotten the job done this season under a new manager, who is actually lining the team up just like the old one.

Let’s break down this London derby.

Palace Have New Look Under Vieira

After years of survival being good enough under Roy Hodgson, Crystal Palace rocked the boat a bit over the summer by appointing Vieira. With the hiring of the Arsenal legend, the club showed a drastic change in its attitude on the pitch.

On paper, it was a successful summer for Palace. They redid their defense by signing Marc Guehi from Chelsea and Joachim Anderson from Lyon. Conor Gallagher was signed on loan from Chelsea and already shows promise, having scored twice in Palace’s 2-2 draw against West Ham before the break.

The biggest signing might have come right at the end of the transfer window, though, with striker Odsonne Edouard coming in from Celtic. Edouard scored 57 goals over 94 appearances in the Scottish Premier League for Celtic and has been rumored with a move to England over the past year or two. It finally happened, and Palace was a bit of a surprise destination.

Palace have conceded five times through three games, although three came against Chelsea when the Blues registered just 1.19 expected goals. Their next two opponents — Spurs and Liverpool — might be able to replicate Chelsea’s finishing quality, although most teams will not.

Going forward, I expect more goals to come, especially with a real mobile finisher in Edouard.

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Spurs Fortunate Sitting Atop League Table

Tottenham are atop the league table, but have a negative non-penalty expected goal difference. Something’s got to give.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s team has scored three and conceded none, even though they’ve “given up” 4.21 expected goals. Most of that came against Manchester City and Wolves, as they conceded just 0.60 against Watford.
This team looks extremely similar to the Spurs sides under Jose Mourinho. It’s the same base formation (4-2-3-1) and they still look to primarily hit teams on the counter, especially teams like City that might keep more possession than them.

That won’t be the case against Crystal Palace, although Vieira’s team will try to keep plenty of the ball, especially at home.

Spurs will be a team to fade as the Premier League gets going again, and this might be a good place to start. The City win was impressive, but they’ve otherwise been able to secure a pair of unconvincing wins since then.

Betting Analysis & Pick

We’re going to start fading Spurs here.

I like the direction Palace is headed in, and the 2-2 draw with West Ham was thoroughly deserved. They’re going to go at teams this season, and Spurs aren’t exactly a ball-dominant team that can’t be broken down. Eventually, the chances they concede are going to find the back of the net.

At DraftKings, you can play Crystal Palace +0.5 at -110. There are a lot of similar numbers available right around even money. I see this as the first time Spurs drop points all season.

Pick: Crystal Palace +0.5 (-110)

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