The Las Vegas Aces (3-1) and Atlanta Dream (2-0) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 1:30 p.m. EDT at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on NBC/Peacock.
The Aces are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 172.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -162 favorite to win outright, while the Dream are +135 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Dream predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 172.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 172.5 -110o / -110u | +135 |
- Aces vs. Dream Spread: Aces -3.5 (-110), Dream +3.5 (-110)
- Aces vs. Dream Over/Under: 172.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Dream Moneyline: Aces -162, Dream +135
- Aces vs. Dream Best Bet: Dream Moneyline +135
Aces vs. Dream Preview
Action PRO projects the Atlanta Dream to win tonight’s matchup against the Las Vegas Aces with an implied probability that gives us a solid 3.8% edge against the market when compared to the current consensus moneyline of +135, which is good enough to tag the Dream ML with a B-grade in our system.
The Dream come in at 2-0 and are playing at home in State Farm Arena, where they’ve shown strong early-season energy and cohesion. Atlanta has benefited from a favorable schedule so far but looks improved, especially with key contributors like Angel Reese bringing elite rebounding and interior presence, alongside a backcourt that can create problems.
The Aces are 3-1 and just dropped 101 points on the Sun behind A’ja Wilson’s historic 45-point explosion, but they are on the tail end of a tough East Coast road swing. Fatigue could be a factor, and Las Vegas has dealt with some depth questions (including the absence of Dana Evans in recent discussions).
While A’ja Wilson remains the best player on the floor, our PRO model likes Atlanta’s home advantage, rest edge in this matinee matchup, and ability to control the glass and tempo against a tiring Aces squad. The model sees the Dream as closer to a +116 favorite in reality.
Let’s back the Atlanta Dream moneyline tonight against the Las Vegas Aces at plus money. The home spot, early-season momentum, and projected value all point to a strong chance for the Dream to pull off the upset.
Best Bet: Dream Moneyline +135
