The Connecticut Sun (9-25) and Las Vegas Aces (24-13) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Aces are favored by -14.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 166.5 (-118o / -104u). The Aces are a -1400 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +760 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Sun vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks.
Sun vs. Aces Odds, Pick
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -108 | 166.5 -118o / -104u | +760 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -112 | 166.5 -118o / -104u | -1400 |
- Sun vs. Aces Spread: Sun +14.5 (-108), Aces -14.5 (-112)
- Sun vs. Aces Over/Under: 166.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Sun vs. Aces Moneyline: Sun +760, Aces -1400
- Sun vs. Aces Best Bet: Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 13.5 Points (-114)
Sun vs. Aces Preview
The Connecticut Sun head to Las Vegas to battle the Aces on Thursday night, desperately looking to snap a five-game skid on the road.
Connecticut has struggled away from home all season with a dismal 3-13 road record, and their defense continues to suffer, yielding 86.9 points per game and getting outscored by 7.5 points overall.
Shooting just 43.0% from the field, the Sun face a tough test against a efficient Las Vegas team that hits 48.2% of its field goals—a full 2.1 percentage points higher than the 46.1% shooting percentage Connecticut typically surrenders to opponents.
Las Vegas holds an impressive 11-7 mark on their home floor and ranks third in the league in ball movement at 21.8 assists per game, anchored by point guard Chelsea Gray's 6.9 assists per contest.
This marks the third matchup of the season between these two squads. In their previous showdown on May 15, the Aces pulled out a high-scoring 101-94 victory behind a massive 45-point performance from A'ja Wilson, which offset a strong 17-point effort from the Sun's Hailey Van Lith.
Heading into Thursday night's clash, injury reports show Dana Evans ruled out for Las Vegas with a leg injury, while Connecticut lists both Brittney Griner (knee) and Aaliyah Edwards (ankle) as questionable.
Sun vs. Aces Prediction
Taking the under on Olivia Nelson-Ododa at 13.5 points offers excellent value. Action PRO projects her for 11.13 points against Las Vegas, creating a strong 23.6% edge against current 13.5 line, earning an A+ grade in model evaluations.
While Nelson-Ododa has put up solid overall numbers this season with averages of 10.2 points and 6.3 rebounds per game, her line for this contest appears inflated.
Bookmakers are pricing this line heavily off her recent hot streak, where she racked up 18 points in a win over the Los Angeles Sparks and 21 points in a loss to New York.
Furthermore, if Brittney Griner is cleared to play through her knee injury, her return to the rotation will directly cannibalize Nelson-Ododa’s minutes and usage, drastically limiting her scoring opportunities inside.
Best Bet: Olivia Nelson-Ododa Under 13.5 Points (-114)
