The Dallas Wings (7-4) and Portland Fire (6-7) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. EDT at Moda Center in Portland, Ore. The game will be broadcast live on KFAA.
The Wings are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 169.5 (-115o / -105u). The Wings are a -250 favorite to win outright, while the Fire are +205 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Wings vs. Fire predictions and WNBA picks.
Wings vs. Fire Odds, Pick
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -105 | 169.5 -115o / -105u | -250 |
| Fire Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -115 | 169.5 -115o / -105u | +205 |
- Wings vs. Fire Spread: Wings -6.5 (-105), Fire +6.5 (-115)
- Wings vs. Fire Over/Under: 169.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Wings vs. Fire Moneyline: Wings -250, Fire +205
- Wings vs. Fire Best Bet: Carla Leite Over 13.5 Points
Wings vs. Fire Preview
If you're looking to target a player primed for a massive bounce-back stretch, backed by an undeniable "revenge game" narrative, backing Carla Leite to clear her 13.5-point line is the sharpest play on the board tonight.
Leite's recent 10-game stretch has admittedly been an up-and-down roller coaster. She struggled heavily with consistency leading up to this week, making her scoring props feel like a bit of a crapshoot on surface level.
However, our PRO Props tools indicate she is primed to sustain a major upward trajectory following Thursday's absolute masterclass against the Las Vegas Aces.
In that contest, Leite blew up for 18 points and a career-high 12 assists, proving she can carry the offensive load.
Tonight's matchup holds massive personal stakes for the young French guard. This marks the fourth time in her career facing the Dallas Wings, the team that drafted her ninth overall in the 2024 WNBA Draft but ultimately left her unsigned, forcing her to build her professional career the hard way.
After eventually being drafted by the Golden State Valkyries and then exposed to yet another expansion draft, she has finally found a true home in Portland.
Wings vs. Fire Prediction
Leite has historically played Dallas tough, averaging 12.3 points per game in their previous three meetings.
But those numbers came in a restricted bench role last season. Now, as a primary engine for the Fire, she is averaging a robust 14.3 points per game and seeing significantly higher usage.
The tactical battleground tonight lies at the free-throw line. Leite has been absolute dynamite from the charity stripe this season, converting at an elite 87.7% clip.
Dallas is a disciplined defensive unit that prides itself on keeping opponents away from the free-throw line, which presents a roadblock.
However, narrative and psychology matter in pro sports. With the added incentive of proving the organization that cast her aside entirely wrong, expect Leite to play with a highly aggressive, downhill mentality.
Her volume should spike tonight, and her ability to attack the rim and manufacture points makes the Over 13.5 a fantastic look.
Pick: Carla Leite Over 13.5 Points (-127, DraftKings)
