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The Golden State Valkyries (6-3) and Atlanta Dream (7-1) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. EDT at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on NBC/Peacock.
The Dream are favored by -5.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 153.5 (-110o / -110u). The Dream are a -215 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +180 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Valkyries vs. Dream predictions and WNBA picks.
Valkyries vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -110 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | +180 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 153.5 -110o / -110u | -215 |
- Valkyries vs. Dream Spread: Dream -5.5 (-110 ), Valkyries +5.5 (-110)
- Valkyries vs. Dream Over/Under: 153.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Dream Moneyline: Valkyries +180, Dream -215
- Valkyries vs. Dream Best Bet: Cecilia Zandalasini Under 7.5 Points (-134, DraftKings)
Valkyries vs. Dream Preview
The Golden State Valkyries head into State Farm Arena on Saturday, October 24, looking to bounce back in Game 4 after suffering a convincing 97-71 loss to the Atlanta Dream in Game 3. Atlanta blew the game open with a dominant second-half performance, capitalizing on defensive pressure and transition opportunities to pull ahead 2-1 in the series.
Throughout the postseason, the Dream's perimeter length and physical, targeted defense have caused real problems for Golden State’s scoring depth outside of primary offensive focal points like Gabby Williams. With Atlanta holding home-court advantage and controlling the defensive glass, Golden State has found secondary scoring hard to come by—especially in sustained stretches against the Dream's tight rotation.
Valkyries vs. Dream Prediction
Action Network's PRO Projections highlight strong value on Cecilia Zandalasini to go Under 7.5 Points with a projected output of just 6.37 points. That gap creates a strong 11.9% edge on the Under at the current -134 line.
A deeper look at Zandalasini's postseason game logs confirms that her baseline production remains limited and highly volatile.
Outside of an outlier 22-point explosion in Game 1 of the opening round against Dallas, Zandalasini has scored 8 points or fewer in 8 of her last 9 playoff games. During that stretch, she is averaging just 6.6 points per game while oscillating between 15 and 25 minutes of play.
Across three games in this series, Zandalasini scored 8 points in Game 1 (3-of-10 FG), 5 points in Game 2 (1-of-8 FG), and 13 points in Game 3 (4-of-8 FG). Her Game 3 total was heavily inflated by a 4-for-6 hot streak from beyond the arc—an unsustainable 66.7% clip for a player whose overall postseason field-goal percentage is just 33.3% outside of her single Round 1 outlier.
Zandalasini relies heavily on high-volume spot-up perimeter touches to stay effective. Given Atlanta's perimeter closeout length and the game-to-game regression expected from her distance shooting, reaching 8 points will be a tall task if her volume normalizes back toward her series median.
With PRO Projections forecasting a modest 6.37-point outing, taking Under 7.5 Points offers a clear statistical edge given her recent target volume, rotational role, and field-goal efficiency.
Best Bet: Cecilia Zandalasini Under 7.5 Points (-134, DraftKings)
