The Golden State Valkyries (26-11) and Connecticut Sun (10-27) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Valkyries are favored by -13.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 151.5 (-110o / -110u). The Valkyries are a -1000 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +650 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Valkyries vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks.
Valkyries vs. Sun Odds, Pick
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -110 | 151.5 -110o / -110u | -1000 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -110 | 151.5 -110o / -110u | +650 |
- Valkyries vs. Sun Spread: Valkyries -13.5 (-110), Sun +13.5 (-110)
- Valkyries vs. Sun Over/Under: 151.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Sun Moneyline: Valkyries -1000, Sun +650
- Valkyries vs. Sun Best Bet: Sun +13.5
Valkyries vs. Sun Preview
This one sets up well for Golden State, especially after the Valkyries bounced back from two straight losses with an impressive 80-66 win over the Lynx.
The biggest reason to trust the Valkyries is their defense. Golden State has made stopping opponents one of its biggest strengths all season, and that was once again on display against Minnesota, holding one of the league's better teams to just 66 points. At 26-11 and 11-6 on the road, the Valkyries have also proven they can win away from home.
The Sun, meanwhile, are 10-27 and have already been eliminated from playoff contention. They did get a much-needed 87-81 win over the Sky in their last game, with Aaliyah Edwards putting together a career-high 26 points and 10 rebounds.
Still, Connecticut has struggled throughout the season, and facing a Golden State team that just rediscovered its defensive identity is a much tougher challenge.
Valkyries vs. Sun Prediction
Our Bad Team Coming Off a Win Bet Lab System isolates a prime WNBA market inefficiency. Struggling teams are often significantly undervalued following a rare victory as the public assumes it was a fluke. When a low-win-rate team is installed as a meaningful double-digit underdog, this model exploits the market’s overreaction to season-long records and underreaction to short-term confidence and stabilized play.
Tonight’s Connecticut Sun vs. Golden State Valkyries matchup perfectly fits this high-value blueprint. Connecticut is a heavy underdog despite coming off a critical 87-81 win where rookie Aaliyah Edwards dominated with career-highs of 26 points and 10 rebounds, confirming this team’s competitive capability.
While the public will back the elite defense of the Valkyries after their dominant showing against Minnesota, the massive spread heavily inflates the favorites’ actual edge. Riding the momentum from their last win, expect a proud, loose Connecticut squad to stay competitive. Take the Sun +13.5.
Best Bet: Sun +13.5
