The Indiana Fever (9-6) and Atlanta Dream (10-4) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. EDT at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.
The Dream are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 177.5 (-110o / -110u). The Dream are a -192 favorite to win outright, while the Fever are +160 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Fever vs. Dream predictions and WNBA picks.
Fever vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -102 | 177.5 -110o / -110u | +160 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -118 | 177.5 -110o / -110u | -192 |
- Fever vs. Dream Spread: Fever +4.5 (-102), Dream -4.5 (-118)
- Fever vs. Dream Over/Under: 177.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Fever vs. Dream Moneyline: Fever +160, Dream -192
- Fever vs. Dream Best Bet: Rhyne Howard Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+131)
Fever vs. Dream Preview
The Fever and Dream conclude their home-and-home series Saturday afternoon in Atlanta after the Dream snapped Indiana’s four-game winning streak with a 108-101 victory on Thursday.
Indiana erased a 13-point deficit and tied the game at 93 with just over five minutes remaining, but Atlanta responded with a decisive late run to secure its second-highest scoring performance of the season.
The loss marked the most points the Fever have allowed in a game this year and the third time the club has been defeated despite scoring at least 100 points.
Angel Reese paced the Dream with 21 points and 11 rebounds for her 10th double-double of the season, while all five Atlanta starters scored in double figures.
Indiana received another huge offensive performance from its All-Star caliber trio.
Kelsey Mitchell scored 26 points and became the eighth player in WNBA history to reach 700 career 3-pointers. Most Valuable Player candidate Caitlin Clark added 26 points and seven assists and Aliyah Boston contributed 23 points and eight rebounds. It marked the sixth game this season in which all three players reached 20 points.
Mitchell continues to lead Indiana at 21.1 points per game, narrowly ahead of Clark (20.8 PPG, 8.2 APG) and Boston (17.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 1.4 BPG). Mitchell and Clark rank among the league’s top scorers, and Clark remains one of the WNBA’s premier playmakers.
Atlanta counters with one of the most balanced starting lineups in the league.
Allisha Gray leads the Dream at 19.4 points per game, followed by sharpshooter Rhyne Howard (18.7 PPG, 2.9 SPG), Reese (15.1 PPG, a league-high 12.2 RPG) and Jordin Canada (11.1 PPG, 6.7 APG, 2.1 SPG). Howard and Canada are the WNBA’s leaders in steals.
These championship contenders met earlier this month, with Indiana earning an 83-71 victory behind 25 points from Mitchell. Reese posted another double-double in that contest with 11 points and 10 rebounds.
Clark is expected to play but is officially listed as probable with a back injury.
Fever vs. Dream Prediction
This prop comes down to volume.
Rhyne Howard leads the WNBA with a career-best average of 3.3 made 3-pointers. She’s converting 37.7% of her 8.8 attempts per game.
Against Indiana, however, those opportunities have largely disappeared.
Howard has stayed under this 2.5 made-3s line in both meetings with the Fever, shooting 1-for-3 from deep Thursday and 2-for-5 earlier this month.
The reduced volume isn’t accidental.
Indiana allows the fewest 3-point tries per game in the WNBA (20) and the fewest makes on average (6.7). Atlanta has managed just 13 made triples across 39 attempts in the two meetings combined.
Action PRO projects Howard for 2.55 3-pointers in this game, but the +131 price still creates a 9.8% edge on the under.
Given the Fever’s ability to limit perimeter opportunities and Howard’s noticeably reduced workload from deep against the Fever, the plus-money price is too attractive to ignore.
Best Bet: Rhyne Howard Under 2.5 3-Pointers (+131, DraftKings)
