The Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Mercury are favored by -4 on the spread, with the over/under set at 173.5 (-108o / -112u). The Mercury are a -170 favorite to win outright, while the Fever are +142 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Fever vs. Mercury prediction and WNBA picks.
Fever vs. Mercury Odds, Pick
Fever Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -115 | 173.5 -108o / -112u | +142 |
Mercury Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -105 | 173.5 -108o / -112u | -170 |
- Fever vs. Mercury Spread: Fever +4 (-115), Mercury -4 (-105)
- Fever vs. Mercury Over/Under: 173.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Fever vs. Mercury Moneyline: Fever +142, Mercury -170
- Fever vs. Mercury Best Bet: Fever +4


Fever vs. Mercury Preview
The Fever face off against the Mercury on Thursday night in a matchup between two teams fighting for Playoff seeding. The Mercury have slid recently while the Fever are still performing well without Caitlin Clark.
Over their past 10 games the Fever are 7-3 with a +3.3 Net Rating while the Mercury are 5-5 with a -1.1 Net Rating. The irony of this is the Fever have succeeded primarily without Clark, while the Mercury’s struggles are coming when they’ve had a clean bill of health. They have struggled to gel with a full rotation.
The Fever have continually been undervalued without Clark. While the offense obviously slips, the defense has seen a slight uptick. They’re a different team, but they’re still solid. They rely on Aliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell for the bulk of their usage and it has paid off as both have adjusted well to their expanded roles. Boston’s PA prop is set at 19.5 and I lean to the over.

Fever vs. Mercury Prediction
On the game, I’m backing Indiana. Both the Fever and the Mercury have been ATS darlings this season but the Fever are 8-4 as a dog. Couple that with the Mercury’s recent form and I’ll take the points.
Best Bet: Fever +4