The Las Vegas Aces (10-4) and Phoenix Mercury (4-11) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on USA.
The Aces are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 171.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -300 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +240 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Mercury Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 171.5 -110o / -110u | -300 |
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 171.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
- Aces vs. Mercury Spread: Aces -7.5 (-105), Mercury +7.5 (-115)
- Aces vs. Mercury Over/Under: 171.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Aces vs. Mercury Moneyline: Aces -300, Mercury +240
- Aces vs. Mercury Best Bet: Natasha Mack Over 8.5 Rebounds (+102)
Aces vs. Mercury Preview
Action PRO projects Mercury center Natasha Mack for 11.55 rebounds in her matchup against the Aces tonight, giving us a nice 31.8% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 8.5, which is good enough to mark the over with an A+ grade in our system.
Aces vs. Mercury Prediction
Mack is averaging 8.3 rebounds per game this season and has emerged as one of Phoenix's most consistent contributors on the glass. While her season average sits slightly below this line, her recent form suggests she's capable of clearing it against Las Vegas.
She has surpassed 8.5 rebounds in three of her last five games, recording totals of 12 and 10 boards in those contests. Those performances highlight the upside she brings when she's able to secure extended minutes in the frontcourt.
Looking at a larger sample, Mack has gone over this number in six of her last 10 games. That trend aligns perfectly with our projections, which expect her to finish comfortably in double digits tonight.
Best Bet: Natasha Mack Over 8.5 Rebounds (+102, bet365)
