The Phoenix Mercury (15-9) and Washington Mystics (12-12) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6:00 p.m. ET at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. The game will broadcast live on MNMT.
The Mercury are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 163 total points. Phoenix is a -305 favorite to win outright, while Washington is +245 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Mystics predictions and WNBA picks for Sunday, July 27.
Mercury vs. Mystics Odds, Pick
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -108 | 163 -112o / -108u | -305 |
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -112 | 163 -112o / -108u | +245 |
- Mercury vs. Mystics Spread: Mercury -7.5 (-108), Mystics +7.5 (-112)
- Mercury vs. Mystics Over/Under: 163 (-112o / -108u)
- Mercury vs. Mystics Moneyline: Mercury -305, Mystics +245
- Mercury vs. Mystics Best Bet: Mercury -7.5
Mercury vs. Mystics Preview
The Mercury must stop their current three-game losing streak and will face the .500 Mystics today in their second matchup in 2025.
Both teams met early this season on May 25, and Phoenix came away with a 68-62 win, with Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Monique Akoa Makani scoring in double figures for the Mercury.
Sabally leads the team with 18.1 points, but Thomas is having an all-around great season with 15.1 points, 7.8 rebounds and 9.4 assists per game.
This is a good bounce-back spot for the Mercury, now trailing the Lynx by six games in the Western Conference. Phoenix has a 6-5 record on the road this season.
Our Bet Labs recommendation for this game is to back Phoenix on the spread.
Mercury vs. Mystics Prediction
This system targets WNBA favorites with a spread between minus 9.5 and minus 6, specifically in the regular season and within recent years of league play.
These games fall into a closing total range between 145 and 165, signaling matchups expected to feature a relatively high but not runaway pace.
By focusing on teams coming off a loss by a narrow to significant margin, the system filters for bounce-back opportunities where talent and market pressure align.
It aims to exploit situations where elite teams are undervalued due to recent underperformance, yet remain in control within fast-paced, competitive environments.
Best Bet: Mercury -7.5 (-110)
