The Minnesota Lynx (14-4) and Dallas Wings (11-7) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 2:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on CBS.
The Lynx are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 177.5 (-115o / -105u). The Lynx are a -175 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Lynx vs. Wings predictions and WNBA picks.
Lynx vs. Wings Odds, Pick
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -108 | 177.5 -115o / -105u | -175 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -112 | 177.5 -115o / -105u | +145 |
- Lynx vs. Wings Spread: Lynx -3.5 (-108), Wings +3.5 (-112)
- Lynx vs. Wings Over/Under: 177.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Lynx vs. Wings Moneyline: Lynx -175, Wings +145
- Lynx vs. Wings Best Bet: Natasha Howard Over 15.5 Points (-124)
Lynx vs. Wings Preview
The Minnesota Lynx carry a stellar 14-4 record into Arlington this Sunday afternoon for a Western Conference showdown against the 11-7 Dallas Wings.
Minnesota has been nearly flawless against conference opponents, boasting a 9-1 record, and they arrive confident after a tight 78-76 victory over the Washington Mystics where Olivia Miles paved the way with 21 points.
This marks the third time these two squads have squared off this season, with the Lynx holding the recent upper hand following a dominant 100-76 win on June 10, a game in which Miles also went off for 24 points.
Defensively, the Lynx have been incredibly stingy, holding opponents to just 39.5% from the field. However, Dallas possesses the offensive firepower to test that resistance.
The Wings are shooting an efficient 46.3% on the season and distribute the ball exceptionally well, ranking second in the Western Conference with 22.8 assists per game.
Paige Bueckers handles the orchestration for Dallas, averaging 6.1 assists alongside a team-high 19.6 points per game. Jessica Shepard has also been a steady force for the Wings, contributing 15.9 points over their last 10 games, helping Dallas to a 6-4 stretch.
Minnesota counters with an elite offense of their own, averaging 90.8 points per game, which is over five points more than the 85.7 points Dallas typically surrenders.
Over their last 10 games, the Lynx have been particularly dangerous, averaging 92.7 points on 48.5% shooting while going 8-2.
They excel on the glass, ranking third in the league with 9.4 offensive rebounds per game, anchored heavily by Natasha Howard's 3.4 offensive boards per contest.
Both teams will have to navigate key absences due to injuries, with Dallas missing Alanna Smith and Odyssey Sims, while Minnesota remains without Napheesa Collier, Emma Cechova, and Dorka Juhasz.
Lynx vs. Wings Prediction
Looking at the player prop market, Action PRO tracking system points to a massive edge on Natasha Howard clearing her line this afternoon.
The analytical model projects her to finish with 17.66 points in this favorable matchup against the Wings' defense. When stacked up against the current betting line of 15.5 points, this projection provides a significant 13.2% edge over the market line, earning an A-grade recommendation.
The underlying performance trends heavily support the over here. Howard has been in fantastic scoring rhythm lately, coming off back-to-back stellar outings where she dropped 21 points and 20 points in consecutive matchups against Washington.
She has been incredibly reliable as a primary scoring option for the Lynx, hitting the over on this mark by recording more than 15 points in six of her last eight games
Facing a Dallas defense that has historically struggled to contain Minnesota's interior efficiency, backing Howard to eclipse 15.5 points is the premier value play for Sunday's slate.
Best Bet: Natasha Howard Over 15.5 Points (-124)
