The Minnesota Lynx (26-7) and Las Vegas Aces (22-10) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tip-off is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on CBS.
The Lynx are favored by -1.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 182.5 (-115o / -105o). The Lynx are a -135 favorite to win outright, while the Aces are +115 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Lynx vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks.
Lynx vs. Aces Odds, Pick
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 182.5 -115o / -105u | -135 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 182.5 -115o / -105u | +115 |
- Lynx vs. Aces Spread: -1.5 (-115), +1.5 (-105)
- Lynx vs. Aces Over/Under: 182.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Lynx vs. Aces Moneyline: Lynx -135, Aces +115
- Lynx vs. Aces Best Bet: Napheesa Collier Over 7.5 Rebounds
Lynx vs. Aces Preview
Two of the league's best teams meet for the second time this month, with Minnesota traveling to face Las Vegas in a legitimate Finals preview. The Lynx won the first meeting by 11 points last Saturday, the first game back for Napheesa Collier after missing the first half of the season recovering from offseason ankle surgery.
The Aces had actually beaten Minnesota earlier in the year while Collier was still out. She's quickly reestablished herself as Minnesota's focal point since returning, accounting for 23.1% of the team's points and 22.3% of its rebounds.
Lynx vs. Aces Prediction
The matchup sets up well for a big rebounding night. Las Vegas has been one of the league's more generous teams on the glass lately, surrendering the third-most rebounds in the WNBA over its last 10 games at 33.9 a night, which is exactly the kind of matchup that tends to inflate an opposing forward's board total.
Collier has also built a strong track record specifically against this Las Vegas frontcourt: in head-to-head matchups with A'ja Wilson and the Aces, she's grabbed eight rebounds in six of nine such contests, averaging 9.4 boards in that stretch, comfortably above tonight's 7.5 line.
Add in that Collier is playing without restriction now several games into her return and has quickly become Minnesota's primary rebounding option again, and the pieces line up for another strong night on the glass.
Our model's 8.47 projection aligns with her track record against this specific opponent, and the plus-money price reflects real value, given that the number looks conservative considering both her recent role and the matchup.
Best Bet: Napheesa Collier Over 7.5 Rebounds (+120, bet365)
