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Lynx vs Mercury Prediction, Pick: Back Nia Coffey

Lynx vs Mercury Prediction, Pick: Back Nia Coffey article feature image
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Photo Credit: Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
Pictured: Alyssa Thomas huddles with her teammates

The Minnesota Lynx (0-1) and Phoenix Mercury (1-1) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on Victory+.

The Mercury are favored by -4 on the spread, with the over/under set at 170.5 (-110o / -110u). The Mercury are a -185 favorite to win outright, while the Lynx are +155 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Lynx vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks.

Lynx vs. Mercury Odds, Pick

Lynx Logo
Tuesday, May 12
10 p.m. ET
Victory+
Mercury Logo
Lynx Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4
-110
170.5
-110o / -110u
+155
Mercury Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4
-110
170.5
-110o / -110u
-185
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Lynx vs. Mercury Spread: Mercury -4 (-110 ), Lynx +4 (-110)
  • Lynx vs. Mercury Over/Under: 170.5 (-110o / -110u)
  • Lynx vs. Mercury Moneyline: Lynx +155, Mercury -185
  • Lynx vs. Mercury Best Bet: Nia Coffey Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130, bet365)
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Lynx vs. Mercury Preview

Action PRO projects Lynx forward Nia Coffey for 5.23 rebounds in their matchup against the Mercury, giving us a nice 20.1% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 3.5, which is good enough to mark the over with an A+ grade in our system.


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Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction

Coffey has only played one game so far this season after joining Minnesota in April, finishing with three rebounds in her Lynx debut against the Dream. However, all signs point toward a bigger role and stronger production moving forward as she continues settling into the team's rotation.

The veteran forward arrived in Minnesota after spending the previous four seasons with Atlanta, where she appeared in all 44 games last season and helped the Dream reach the 2025 WNBA Playoffs. Coffey's best performance of the year came in an 18-point, 11-rebound double-double against Connecticut, which showcases the rebounding upside she can bring when given extended minutes.

Rebounding has also been a consistent part of her profile dating back to college, where she finished her Northwestern career as the program's all-time leader in rebounds.

Best Bet: Nia Coffey Over 3.5 Rebounds (-130, bet365)


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