The Phoenix Mercury (5-13) and Indiana Fever (10-7) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EDT at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind. The game will be broadcast live on USA.
The Fever are favored by -8.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 175.5 (-110o / -110u). The Fever are a -350 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +275 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Fever predictions and WNBA picks.
Mercury vs. Fever Odds, Pick
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -115 | 175.5 -110o / -110u | +275 |
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -105 | 175.5 -110o / -110u | -350 |
- Mercury vs. Fever Spread: Fever -8.5 (-105), Mercury +8.5 (-115)
- Mercury vs. Fever Over/Under: 175.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Mercury vs. Fever Moneyline: Mercury +275, Fever -350
- Mercury vs. Fever Best Bet: Monique Billings Under 7.5 Points
Mercury vs. Fever Preview
Action PRO projects Fever forward Monique Billings for 6.06 points in her matchup against the Mercury tonight, giving us a nice 19.0% edge against the market when compared to her current prop line of over/under 7.5, which is good enough to mark the under with an A grade in our system.
Mercury vs. Fever Prediction
Billings is averaging 5.7 points per game this season, making this line a bit ambitious based on her overall production. She has shown flashes offensively, but scoring has generally not been her primary role within Indiana's rotation.
She has gone over this number in three of her last five games, showing that she is capable of producing when given opportunities. However, looking at a larger sample paints a different picture. Billings has cleared 7.5 points in only four of her last 10 contests, meaning the under has cashed 60% of the time during that stretch.
Recent results may be inflating expectations a bit, but our projections expect her production to settle closer to her season average. Unless Billings sees a larger-than-usual offensive workload, reaching eight points could prove difficult against Phoenix.
Best Bet: Monique Billings Under 7.5 Points (-120, bet365)
