The Chicago Sky (2-5) and New York Liberty (8-0) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Liberty are favored by -17.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 165 (-112o / -112u). The Liberty are a -2000 favorite to win outright, while the Sky are +1000 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sky vs. Liberty prediction and WNBA picks.
Sky vs. Liberty Odds, Pick
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+17.5 -108 | 165 -112o / -112u | +1000 |
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-17.5 -113 | 165 -112o / -112u | -2000 |
- Sky vs. Liberty Spread: Liberty -17.5 (-113 ), Sky +17.5 (-108)
- Sky vs. Liberty Over/Under: 165 (-112o / -112u)
- Sky vs. Liberty Moneyline: Sky +1000, Liberty -2000
- Sky vs. Liberty Best Bet: Sky +17.5
Sky vs. Liberty Preview
Not much needs to be said about the Liberty. New York is a perfect 8-0 on the season, has already beaten Chicago by 25 and is seemingly clicking on all cylinders.
Sure, there are always things to clean up, but things are certainly going well for New York at the moment.
On the other hand, Chicago is coming off a 27-point loss against the Caitlin Clark-less Fever. The Sky have won two of their past three, but that loss likely left a sour taste in their mouth. Additionally, Courtney Vandersloot tore her ACL and will be out for the rest of the season, a big loss for Chicago.
The loss of Vandersloot hurts, but the motivation to get back on track should be there and we're not asking Chicago to win — but rather to simply keep this relatively close.
Bet Labs says there's value in backing Chicago in this spot, so let's trust the system.
Sky vs. Liberty Prediction
This system focuses on games after a no-close loss, which we have defined as a defeat of seven or more points. These situations heighten market negativity and inflate the next spread.
However, this system suggests that WNBA teams — even those with poor records — can respond competitively, especially when lines cross a key value threshold like 11.5 or more. We're capturing max line inflation that has been driven by poor optics, not predictive fundamentals.
Overall, this system is 142-88-4 (62%) for a 19% ROI, but this season, this system has been on fire. In 2025, it is 5-2 (71%) and has generated a 36% ROI.
Best Bet: Sky +17.5
