The Golden State Valkyries (2-4) and Phoenix Mercury (5-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Mercury are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 157 (-110o / -110u). The Mercury are a -258 favorite to win outright, while the Valkyries are +210 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Valkyries vs. Mercury prediction and WNBA picks.
Valkyries vs. Mercury Odds, Pick
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 157 -110o / -110u | +210 |
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 157 -110o / -110u | -258 |
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Spread: Mercury -6.5 (-110 ), Valkyries +6.5 (-110)
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Over/Under: 157 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Moneyline: Valkyries +210, Mercury -258
- Valkyries vs. Mercury Best Bet: Mercury -6.5
Valkyries vs. Mercury Preview
The Mercury, fresh off a road loss to the Lynx, look to get back on track as they host the Valkyries on Thursday night. Phoenix is 4-1 at home this season and led by Satou Sabally, who is averaging 20.5 points and 8.1 rebounds per game this season.
Meanwhile, Golden State has lost three in a row but has played well in its first season of existence. The Valkyries, led by Kayla Thornton's 12 points per game, are 1-2 on the road
Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction
This system targets WNBA favorites with a spread between -9.5 and -6, specifically in the regular season.
These games fall into a closing total range between 145 and 165, signaling matchups expected to feature a relatively high, but not runaway pace. By focusing on teams coming off a loss by a narrow to significant margin, the system filters for bounce-back opportunities where talent and market pressure align.
It aims to exploit situations where elite teams are undervalued due to recent underperformance, yet remain in control within fast-paced, competitive environments.
Overall, this system is 41-21-1 (66%) with a 26% ROI.
Best Bet: Mercury -6.5
