The Washington Mystics (2-2) and Phoenix Mercury (2-1) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 6 p.m. ET at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on MNMT.
The Mercury are favored by -5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 159.5 (-110o / -110u). The Mercury are a -220 favorite to win outright, while the Mystics are +180 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mystics vs. Mercury predictions and WNBA picks for Sunday, May 25.
Mystics vs Mercury Odds, Pick
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5 -110 | 159.5 -110o / -110u | +180 |
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5 -110 | 159.5 -110o / -110u | -220 |
- Mystics vs Mercury Spread: Mercury -5 (-110), Mystics +5 (-110)
- Mystics vs Mercury Over/Under: 159.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Mystics vs Mercury Moneyline: Mystics +180, Mercury -220
- Mystics vs Mercury Best Bet: Jade Melbourne Over 9.5 Points (-115) · Kiki Iriafen Under 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
Mystics vs Mercury WNBA Betting Preview
By Prop Model
The Mystics enter this game with a 2-2 record but have lost two straight after starting the season with a two-game win streak. Their most recent defeat came against the Las Vegas Aces by a score of 75-72.
In fact, Washington's two losses have come by a combined five points.
Brittney Sykes leads the Mystics with 26.3 points per game, but she missed the team's most recent game against the Aces.
Washington has four players averaging double figures.
The Mercury, meanwhile, enter with a 2-1 record but are coming off a 77-70 loss to the Seattle Storm.
Satou Sabally leads Phoenix with 22.3 points per game, and she and Alyssa Thomas (18.3) are the only two players on the team who average double-digit scoring.
Jade Melbourne Over 9.5 Points
The points prop for Melbourne looks like a strong over wager based on the current data. The line of 9.5 compares favorably based on our WNBA simulations.
The prop projects to hit 59.03% of the time based on the assumptions, which represents a 5.54% edge. You can find all WNBA props in our props tool.
Kiki Iriafen Under 10.5 Rebounds
The rebounds prop for Iriafen looks like another solid bet based on the current data. The under 10.5 number compares favorably based on our WNBA simulations.
This prop projects to hit 57.51% of the time based on the assumptions for a 4.03% edge.
Picks: Jade Melbourne Over 9.5 Points (-115) · Kiki Iriafen Under 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
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