The Dallas Wings (0-4) and Connecticut Sun (0-4) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
Let's get into my Wings vs. Sun prediction and WNBA picks.
The Wings are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 160.5 (-110o / -110u). The Wings are a -198 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +164 to pull off the upset.
Wings vs. Sun Odds, Pick
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | -198 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | +164 |
- Wings vs. Sun Spread: Wings -4.5 (-110), Sun +4.5 (-110)
- Wings vs. Sun Over/Under: 160.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Wings vs. Sun Moneyline: Wings -198, Sun +164
- Wings vs. Sun Best Bet: Wings -4.5 (-110)
Wings vs. Sun Preview
Both the Wings and Sun are 0-4 and seeking their first win in tonight's WNBA matchup.
Dallas, led by No. 1 overall pick Paige Buckers, has lost its past three games by single digits and Bueckers has scored 10+ points in each of her four games played this season.
Meanwhile, the Sun were blown out 79-55 in a loss to the Dream on Sunday.
Wings vs. Sun Prediction
This system identifies value in regular season WNBA games in which a non-playoff team from last season is favored over a team that made the playoffs, despite public perception favoring the latter.
The assumption is that the market undervalues current-year improvements or motivation for the non-playoff team. The edge is further amplified in high-total games (158-188), which often signal pace or scoring confidence. That's typically associated with better teams, but, in these spots, the lesser-known favorite may be more explosive than assumed.
This mispricing creates a spread edge for the non-playoff favorite and this system has won 56% of its past picks and has a 9.4% lifetime ROI.
Best Bet: Wings -4.5
