The Netherlands and Morocco will square off in the World Cup Round of 32 tonight. The match is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET at Monterrey Stadium in Mexico and will broadcast live on FOX and Telemundo.
The Netherlands is favored at +135 on the moneyline, while Morocco is priced as a +230 underdog to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 2.5 goals (+122o / -150u).
Let's get into my Netherlands vs. Morocco predictions and World Cup picks for Monday, June 29.
Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction, Pick
- Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-105, bet365)
My Netherlands vs Morocco best bet is for both teams to find the back of the net.
The Dutch have been prolific scorers but have also displayed defensive frailties, while Morocco possesses a consistent attack that has scored in eight consecutive matches, setting the stage for goals at both ends.
Make sure to find the best odds by using our live World Cup odds page.
Netherlands vs Morocco Odds
| Morocco Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -480 | 2.5 +122o / -150u | +230 |
| Netherlands Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +290 | 2.5 +122o / -150u | +135 |
Netherlands vs Morocco World Cup Round of 32 Preview
Dutch Defensive Lapses
This knockout-stage fixture is arguably one of the most compelling matchups of the round, featuring two teams that impressed in group play.
The Netherlands and Morocco both finished with seven points, showcasing strong attacking capabilities that should make for an entertaining contest.
The Netherlands has been dominant offensively, but their defensive lapses are a recurring theme. They will face their toughest test yet against a Moroccan side that has already proven it can hang with the world's best, holding Brazil to a 1-1 draw.
Morocco is unlikely to play conservatively; they averaged 58% possession in their group and have the technical skill to challenge the Dutch defense.
Morocco Feeling Confident
Looking at head-to-head history, the Netherlands have won two of the three previous encounters. Notably, every match has finished 2-1, reinforcing the prediction of goals on both sides.
The Dutch also boast a formidable record against African teams in this competition, remaining unbeaten with five wins and one draw. Morocco, however, has consistently challenged European opponents and will not be intimidated by the occasion.
This matchup pits Dutch offensive efficiency against a confident and dynamic Moroccan squad, creating a scenario in which both teams are likely to score.
Netherlands vs Morocco Parlay Picks
- Both Teams to Score – Yes (-105 at bet365)
- Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score (+160 at bet365)
The Netherlands comes into the knockout stage with one of the most potent offenses in the competition. They scored 10 goals across their three group matches, averaging 3.33 per game.
This offensive output isn't just a fluke; they registered at least ten shots in every match and were ruthlessly efficient, converting an astonishing 25% of their total shots into goals.
However, their defensive record tells a different story. Ronald Koeman’s team conceded in all three of their group games, with an average of 4.67 goals per match. Despite being favored in each contest, they allowed opponents to take at least 10 shots against them.
This combination of high-powered scoring and a vulnerable backline makes a strong case for goals from both sides.
Morocco is well-equipped to exploit those defensive gaps. The Atlas Lions have scored in their last eight consecutive matches, averaging 2.38 goals per game during that stretch. They also earned seven points in a tough group that included Brazil.
Forward Ismail Saibari has been a breakout star, becoming the first African player to score in all three group-stage games of a single tournament. While they have offensive talent, they also showed they can be scored upon, as seen in their 4-2 victory over Haiti.
The historical context also supports these picks. All three previous meetings between the Netherlands and Morocco have ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Given the current form of both attacks, a similar outcome seems plausible.
Netherlands vs Morocco Projected Lineups
Netherlands Lineup (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Verbruggen
- Defenders: Dumfries, Van Dijk, Van Hecke, Van de Ven
- Midfielders: Gravenberch, F de Jong, Reijnders
- Forwards: Malen, Brobbey, Gakpo
Morocco Lineup (4-2-3-1)
- Goalkeeper: Bono
- Defenders: Hakimi, Diop, Riad, Mazraoui
- Midfielders: El Aynaoui, Bouaddi; Brahim, Ounahi, El Khannouss
- Forwards: Saibari
Netherlands vs Morocco Weather
It will be sunny in Monterrey on Monday, with a high temperature of 92 degrees and low in the low-70s. Players could be impacted by the humidity (48%) and potentially thunderstorms.
