Premier League Prop Picks & Best Bets: Our 4 Favorite Plays, Including Crystal Palace Betting Angle (Aug. 20-22)
Eric Verhoeven/Soccrates/Getty Images. Pictured: Manchester City players celebrate a goal.
Looking for more Premier League prop plays with plenty of betting value? Well, we have you covered again ahead of this week's exciting slate of tasty fixtures in the English top flight.
Action Network handicappers Jeremy Pond and Nick Hennion have you taken care of with the top prop wagers they're targeting on the latest slate of matches. Their selections are coming from the following affairs:
- Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa | Saturday, 10 a.m. ET
- West Ham United vs. Brighton & Hove Albion | Sunday, 9 a.m. ET
- Newcastle United vs. Manchester City | Sunday, 11:30 a.m. ET
- Manchester United vs. Liverpool | Monday, 3 p.m. ET
So, check out below to see where our analysts have found betting value ahead of the upcoming games on another busy docket.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa Odds
| Crystal Palace Odds | +155 |
| Aston Villa Odds | +195 |
| Draw | +255 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (+120 / -150) |
| Day | Time | Saturday | 10 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | Peacock Premium |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here. | |
Nick Hennion
The Pick: Crystal Palace to Win Either Half (-135)
Analysis: Not only is this a good revenge spot for Crystal Palace against Aston Villa, but this prop was quite profitable last season at Selhurst Park.
Across the 16 Palace home fixtures that saw at least one goal scored, manager Patrick Vieira's side won at least a half in 12 of them. The only four in which the Eagles failed to do that was against Villa, Liverpool, Chelsea and Newcastle United.
So far this campaign, Palace has proven a bit unlucky, especially in its lone home match. On opening day of the campaign, the Eagles lost both halves against Arsenal, but dominated the second half on xG (0.99-0.35), per fotmob.com.
Although I don’t expect the Villans to look nearly as bad on the road as it did against Bournemouth, this feels like a good buy-low spot on the hosts.
West Ham vs. Brighton Odds
| West Ham Odds | +135 |
| Brighton Odds | +215 |
| Draw | +240 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (+105 / -120) |
| Day | Time | Sunday | 9 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | Peacock Premium |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here. | |
Nick Hennion
The Pick: Both Teams to Score — Yes (-135)
Analysis: I’m a touch surprised this price isn’t higher given how profitable this prop has historically been.
Since the Brighton was promoted to the Premier League, the “Yes” side of the Both Teams To Score wager has cashed in eight of the last 10 meetings, including seven consecutive encounters.
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What’s more is that in three of the last seven outings, each club has scored multiple times while at least one has scored multiple in four of those seven showdowns.
Additionally, in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, both teams have notched at least one expected goal, per fbref.com.
Given West Ham will be playing on short rest, expect underdog Brighton to do its part at London Stadium. That said, the host's opening fixture against Manchester City ended a 20-match streak of scoring at least once at home.
Newcastle vs. Man City Odds
| Newcastle Odds | +700 |
| Man City Odds | -290 |
| Draw | +420 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-148 / +122) |
| Day | Time | Sunday | 11:30 a.m. ET |
| How To Watch | USA Network | fuboTV |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here. | |
Jeremy Pond
The Pick: Manchester City — Team Total Over 2.5 Goals (+158)
Analysis: I think we've already reached a point where we're going to have start takin shots on Manchester City in the prop market due to the fact the juggernaut is going to be a massive moneyline favorite almost every time out.
That said. I think we've found a prop that compliments the Cityzens' electric offense. No matter where you look, there is offensive firepower in powder blue on the pitch. Kevin De Bruyne? Phil Foden? Bernardo Silva? Riyad Mahrez? Oh, and the new guy… Erling Haaland? Yikes… you're in trouble, Magpies.
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So, I'm optimistic Manchester City will erupt at St. James' Park and clear its team total of 2.5 goals. I was leaning toward the Cityzens to notch a shutout, but figured I'd take a shot on them finishing with at least three times.
Bottom line, Manchester City is running extremely hot early in the season and I really can't see the EPL title favorite delivering a letdown performance.
Man United vs. Liverpool Odds
| Man United Odds | +375 |
| Liverpool Odds | -165 |
| Draw | +340 |
| Over/Under | 3.5 (+120 / -165) |
| Day | Time | Monday | 3 p.m. ET |
| How To Watch | Peacock Premium |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here. | |
Jeremy Pond
The Pick: Luis Díaz (Liverpool) — To Have 2 or More Shots on Target (+160)
Analysis: I was all about Darwin Núñez scoring anytime in last weekend's clash with Crystal Palace. Well, that betting angle was flushed down an Anfield toilet when the Uruguay international was sent off in the 57th minute of Liverpool's 1-1 hard-fought draw.
So, with the Reds' talisman suspended ahead of Monday's huge EPL confrontation with Manchester United, we need to look elsewhere for a scoring prop. And yes, we've found a spicy one tied to teammate Luis Díaz.
The Colombia international was brilliant in Núñez's absence, scoring just four minutes after his ejection in a brilliant display of skill and class. My guess is he will be in line to go the full 90 minutes — unless this fixture gets out of hand — as well. Teammates Diogo Jota is still dealing with a knock, so the door is wide open for Diaz to shine at Old Trafford.
Dig around for the best number, but I found this nice price at FanDuel for those looking to get involved. Just do yourself a favor and don't miss out of this bet ahead of the week's featured showdown.
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