Updated RBC Canadian Open 2022 Odds & 6 Picks for Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, More

Updated RBC Canadian Open 2022 Odds & 6 Picks for Sam Burns, Matt Fitzpatrick, More article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Burns (left) and Matt Fitzpatrick.

Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Canadian Open odds via BetMGM

2022 RBC Canadian Open Odds

Scottie Scheffler+800
Justin Thomas+900
Rory McIlroy+1000
Cameron Smith+1200
Sam Burns+1600
Matt Fitzpatrick+1800
Shane Lowry+1800
Corey Conners+2000
Tony Finau+2500
Tyrrell Hatton+2800
Harold Varner III+3300
Adam Hadwin+4000
Chris Kirk+4000
Brendon Todd+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Justin Rose+5000
Keith Mitchell+5000
Sebastian Munoz+5000
Mackenzie Hughes+6600
Sahith Theegala+6600
Aaron Rai+8000
Adam Long+8000
Rasmus Hojgaard+8000
David Lipsky+8000
Alex Smalley+10000
Austin Smotherman+10000
Cameron Champ+10000
Dylan Frittelli+10000
Emiliano Grillo+10000
J.J. Spaun+10000
J.T. Poston+10000
John Huh+10000
Patrick Rodgers+10000
Adam Svensson+12500
Brandon Wu+12500
Doug Ghim+12500
Greyson Sigg+12500
Hank Lebioda+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Ryan Armour+12500
Stephan Jaeger+12500
Tyler Duncan+12500
Danny Willett+15000
Dean Burmester+15000
Mark Hubbard+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Matthias Schwab+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Vince Whaley+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Andrew Novak+20000
Ben Martin+20000
Brandt Snedeker+20000
Brian Stuard+20000
Brice Garnett+20000
Chase Seiffert+20000
Christopher Gotterup+20000
Danny Lee+20000
Joseph Bramlett+20000
Justin Lower+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Scott Piercy+20000
Aaron Cockerill+25000
Callum Tarren+25000
Cameron Percy+25000
Carlos Ortiz+25000
Charley Hoffman+25000
Hayden Buckley+25000
Jonathan Byrd+25000
Kramer Hickok+25000
Michael Gligic+25000
Nick Hardy+25000
Peter Malnati+25000
Robert Streb+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Ryan Moore+25000
Satoshi Kodaira+25000
Scott Gutschewski+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Ben Kohles+30000
David Lingmerth+30000
David Skinns+30000
Harry Higgs+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello+30000
Robert Garrigus+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Bill Haas+35000
Brandon Hagy+35000
Dylan Wu+35000
Max McGreevy+35000
Paul Barjon+35000
Sean O'Hair+35000
Vaughn Taylor+35000
Yi Cao+35000
Bo Hoag+40000
Curtis Thompson+40000
Greg Chalmers+40000
Henrik Norlander+40000
Kelly Kraft+40000
Mark Hensby+40000
Sangmoon Bae+40000
Scott Brown+40000
Stuart MacDonald+40000
Sung Kang+40000
Austin Cook+50000
Bo Van Pelt+50000
Brett Drewitt+50000
Callum Davison+50000
Camilo Villegas+50000
David Hearn+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Johnson Wagner+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Nick Watney+50000
Ricky Barnes+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Seung-Yul Noh+50000
Tommy Gainey+50000
Trevor Werbylo+50000
Albin Choi+75000
Ben Crane+75000
Brendan Leonard+75000
Jared du Toit+75000
Jason Dufner+75000
Joe Deraney+75000
Jonas Blixt+75000
Wes Heffernan+75000
Patrick Flavin+75000
Jeffrey Kang+75000
Braden Thornberry+75000
Matt Every+75000
A.J. Ewart+100000
D.A. Points+100000
Jim Knous+100000
Johnny Travale+100000
Myles Creighton+100000
Richard S. Johnson+100000
William Buhl+100000
John Merrick+100000
Brian Davis+100000
Kevin Stadler+100000
J.J. Henry+100000
George McNeill+100000
Brad Adamonis+100000
Jason Bohn+100000
Parker McLachlin+100000
John Rollins+100000
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For the first time in three years, the PGA TOUR is north of the border.

Five of the world’s top-10 players are in Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open, including defending champion (from 2019) Rory McIlroy. The first two major winners of 2022 are atop the odds board, with Scottie Scheffler slightly favored over Justin Thomas.

St. George’s Golf & Country Club is a short track, but it looks like it will present a stiff test to players ahead of the US Open. Expect the roughs to be penalizing and greens to be fast.

Our staff of GolfBet writers have scoured the odds board this week, which seems a little top heavy without much depth.

They’re identified their favorite betting picks for the week. Check them out below.

Bet the RBC Canadian Open, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

Brendon Todd — Top 10 (+700)

Jason Sobel: Todd is like the Halley’s Comet of the PGA TOUR, which isn’t to suggest he only comes around every 76 years. When he does show up, though, you don’t want to miss it.

Back in late 2019, he turned into the best player in the world for a month-long stretch with two wins and a fourth-place finish, rising from outside the top-500 to 72nd before Thanksgiving dinner was served. Since then, he didn’t have a single top-five finish … until two weeks ago, when he showed up on the Charles Schwab leaderboard to the tune of a third-place result.

There aren’t too many options where we can focus on a short-course specialist these days, but Todd fits this role perfectly, ranking 201st in driving distance and fifth in driving accuracy this season.

Sam Burns — Top 5 (+450)

Chris Murphy: I’m copping out a bit here since I can’t quite figure out where I want to bite the bullet at the top this week. I have a lot more interest in taking one or two of the top names than I do throwing darts at the bottom of this field that drops off in a hurry.

Sam Burns is one of the three or four at the top that I would like to consider for an outright, but with his odds in the teens I probably won’t get there. I did find some decent value in this top 5 placement on FanDuel.

Burns has shown to have a strong upside with his three wins this season and three more top-10 finishes. He did some of that damage during the fall swing and if you take out some of the elites at the top of this field, this one isn’t much different than what we see in the fall.

We tend to devalue players after a win despite them clearly being in great form to achieve that victory, and in two of his three wins on TOUR he has registered a top-14 finish, including a runner-up.

As odd as it sounds, I think Burns would be more popular this week if he didn’t win at the Charles Schwab. The course fit seems to be right up his alley, where his off the tee struggles are mitigated and he can take advantage of his strong approach and putting game.

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Matt Fitzpatrick +2000

Matt Vincenzi: Last week, Matt Fitzpatrick missed the cut on the number at the Memorial. Some people may see the dreaded "MC" when checking in on his recent form and be scared off, but not all missed cuts can be treated the same.

In Fitzpatrick's case, it was an extreme putting anomaly that was responsible for his uncharacteristic short week. The Englishman lost a whopping 7.6 strokes putting in two rounds, making it the worst putting performance of his career (in only two rounds!). There were no issues with the rest of his game, as he gained 6.5 strokes from tee to green.

Prior to the Memorial, Fitzpatrick had been playing excellent golf. In his past ten starts, the 27-year-old has seven top-15 finishes. Additionally, the last time Fitz missed a cut was at the RBC Heritage. He went on to finish runner-up at the Wells Fargo the following week.
St. George's should be a perfect fit for Fitzpatrick.

Precision will be paramount at this golf course, both off the tee and on approach. Fairways are tree lined and tight, which is the type of setup that Fitzpatrick has thrived on throughout his career. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and has the perfect combination of distance and accuracy to make this track a lot more manageable.

It's no secret that Fitzpatrick has had a difficult time winning on the PGA TOUR. Perhaps leaving the United States for an event north of the border is just what he needs to get over the hump.

Rory McIlroy — Top 10 (+120)

Landon Silinsky: McIlroy is the defending champion at this event, which was played on a different course three years ago, but it’s still noteworthy. He finished a ho-hum 18th at the Memorial, where he lost strokes with his irons on both Saturday and Sunday. Before that, the Irishman was on quite the run, posting a runner-up at Augusta, followed by a T5 and T8 at the Wells Fargo and PGA Championship.

McIlroy is the class of this field and ranks No. 1 in Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and No. 2 in Strokes Gained: Total both over his previous 48 rounds. He would not show up to Canada one week after playing Memorial with the U.S Open a week later if he did not intend to give it his all.

Outside of the very top of the board, this field is extremely mediocre. I believe Rory could sleepwalk his way to a top 10 here, so I’ll gladly take plus money.

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Chris Kirk +5000

Derek Farnsworth: I was ready to write up Patrick Reed at +6500, but that number is no longer available — nor is Reed. Instead, I’ll pivot to Chris Kirk.

We don’t think of Kirk as being an elite driver of the ball, but he has gained strokes off the tee in 14 straight events. While he lost on approach last week at Muirfield Village, he had gained on approach in each of his previous 10 starts.

On top of that, he’s one of the best on TOUR around the green. He’s been a top-10 machine this season, and it would be a great story to see him back in the winner’s circle after everything he’s gone through the last few years.

I love the course fit, I love the way his game is trending, and I love the +5000 odds. Since we don’t have each ways in the US, I am backing up this bet with a top five on FanDuel at +950.

Matt Fitzpatrick — Top 20 (-115)

Bryan Berryman: From a tee-to-green perspective, Fitzpatrick came through as predicted last week at Memorial. He hit over 70% of his fairways and ranked seventh in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green through the first two rounds.

Unfortunately, he paired his wonderful tee to green play with his worst putting performance of his entire career, losing 7.5 strokes on the greens en route to a missed cut.

This week, St. George’s will be set up in a relatively similar fashion. While it won’t play as long as Muirfield Village, there are many reports that the course is being set up as a “US Open prep” course given where it has landed on the PGA TOUR schedule. That will mean fast greens and thick rough awaiting any wayward tee shots, placing a premium on accuracy from tee to green.

This sets up perfectly for Fitzpatrick, who ranks first in this field in Bogey Avoidance, while also ranking  top 30 in both Fairways Gained and Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 rounds. He’s a solid and reliable player from tee to green, who has finished in the top 20 in seven out of his 10 total starts this year. Assuming his putting performance last week was an anomaly, I love his chances of cracking the top 20 this week.

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