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3M Open Round 4: Expert Predictions, Pick, Odds for Sunday, July 26

3M Open Round 4: Expert Predictions, Pick, Odds for Sunday, July 26 article feature image
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IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect. Pictured: Scottie Scheffler

The fourth and final round of the 2026 3M Open gets underway on Sunday at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

Jackson Koivun holds a three-stroke lead over the rest of the field at 17-under par after the third round. He looks to earn his first PGA Tour victory with a handful of trailers at his heels.

Here is my pick and 3M Open Round 4 best bet.

3M Open Round 4 Best Bet

Scottie Scheffler Top-5 (-108 at DraftKings)

If anyone is to chase down Koivun, Scottie Scheffler is as good a candidate as any. That said, at -108, there's more value in taking the safer play of backing him to gain just a couple of shots on the field on Sunday to finish inside the top five.

While TPC Twin Cities is a relatively easy stop on the PGA Tour schedule, the course still plays long and requires strong mid- to long-iron play. Last year, nearly 40% of approach shots came from the 150-200-yard range.

This setup makes Scheffler a strong target in this market.

Entering this week, he ranks in the 99th percentile in strokes gained: approach from 150-200 yards. Distance is also not an issue for Scheffler, who ranks in the 79th percentile in driving distance and 98th percentile in strokes gained: off the tee.

A top five finish has become a routine endeavor at this stage of Scheffler's career. He has finished inside the top five in three of his past four tournaments, and another top finish is likely at TPC Twin Cities.

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