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2018 British Open: Adam Hadwin’s Recent Form Doesn’t Warrant a Bet

Jul 12, 2018 12:01 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Adam Hadwin’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,000 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, MC

Odds: +50,000 to win, +1400 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +50,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Hadwin (-115) over Kevin Chappell (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 4:03 a.m. ET (Thursday); 9:04 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Hadwin missed his only cut at the British last year, and he enters this week in atrocious recent form. He hasn’t been inside the top 40 since early May, and his 71.0 Recent Adjusted Round Score is one of the lower marks in the field. Despite hitting fairways well, he’s really struggled with his mid iron game, failing to consistently hit greens in regulation. That just won’t fly at Carnoustie, which makes him a fade candidate this week.


The Metrics

Here’s how Hadwin ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-53rd
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-99th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 39th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-101st
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 34th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-51st

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Adam Hadwin

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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