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2018 British Open: Struggling Cameron Smith Unlikely to Rebound at Carnoustie

Jul 12, 2018 12:06 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Cameron Smith’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A, MC

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1400 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +500 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:59 a.m. ET (Thursday); 4:59 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Smith definitely has upside: The 24-year-old Australian has a pair of top-five major finishes in his short career. The problem is his recent play: He’s missed four of his last five cuts, and in each of his past six tournaments, he’s failed to hit even 65% of his greens in regulation in any event. His 53.7% Recent GIR and 49.4% Driving Accuracy marks are some of the worst in the field. I like the talent long-term, but I’m not interested in betting on a guy turning things around at Carnoustie.


The Metrics

Here’s how Smith ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-68th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-87th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 68th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 133rd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 69th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-12th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cameron Smith

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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