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2018 British Open: Paul Dunne’s Accuracy Woes Could Spell Trouble at Carnoustie

Jul 12, 2018 12:22 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Paul Dunne’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,400 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, MC, T-30, MC, N/A

Odds: +15,000 to win, +800 top-10 finish, +350 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +350 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 2:30 a.m. ET (Thursday); 7:31 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Dunne had a string of hot play earlier this year, finishing in the top 10 in four of five events, but he’s since cooled off a bit. He’s really struggled to hit fairways… like, really struggled. His 50.4% Recent Driving Accuracy mark is one of the worst in the field, and that’s not an encouraging sign at a links-style course like Carnoustie. I won’t be backing him this week.


The Metrics

Here’s how Dunne ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-79th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-58th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: N/A
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-78th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: N/A
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-8th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Paul Dunne

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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