The 2026 PGA Championship — the second of golf's four annual majors — is in full swing at the Aronimink Golf Club.
Tiger Woods may be sitting this one out, but there's still plenty of star power to go around. Which golfers will secure a top-10 finish?
To trade on this market, sign up at Kalshi and make your prediction known.
If you're new to Kalshi, you can use any of our links to claim our exclusive sign-up offer: Trade $10, Get $10! This welcome bonus can be used to be on a variety of different prediction markets ranging from sports to politics!
PGA Championship: Top 10 Finishers: Live Kalshi Odds
Like any Kalshi market with several viable outcomes, traders are fairly split on who they believe will be a top-10 finisher. This diversity leads to great value in terms of contract prices, and the fact that there will be at least 10 winning outcomes means traders will likely buy shares of multiple players.
After a strong opening morning that saw him finish the day two under par, Xander Schauffele has shot up the Kalshi odds board. Min Woo Lee isn't far behind either, shooting three under par on the day. Overall, options are plentiful as total trading volume approaches $2 million. We'll break down who else is worth a look below.
PGA Championship: Top 10 Finishers Prediction Market Analysis
As mentioned above, Schauffele is off to a hot start. This isn't surprising given his history at this major, which includes a win in 2024, an eighth-place finish in 2025, and a 13th-place finish in 2022. While his chances of winning it all aren't cemented, he's a strong candidate to be a top-10 finisher.
Brooks Koepka is another name to keep an eye on. He teed off early alongside Schauffele and finished the day one under par. History is on his side as well, as he won it all in 2023 and tied for second in 2021. He finished tied for 26th in 2024, so his "Yes" contracts will be even more discounted as well.
Justin Thomas is an interesting option coming out of the afternoon window. He was tied for fifth at two under par through the sixth hole and won it all back in 2022. He broke into the top 10 finishers at this major last year as well, tying for eighth.
Collin Morikawa has also performed well here, finishing tied for fourth in 2024 and tied for eighth in 2021. At a course that values precision over raw power, he's right in his element.
Rory McIlroy had a brutal first day, finishing four over par. Still, his talent can't be denied, and there's decent value buying "Yes" contracts for ~18 cents.
When Will This Kalshi Market Conclude?
Here are the "PGA Championship: Top 10 Finishers" market rules according to Kalshi:
- If a player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 PGA Championship, then their market outcome resolves to "Yes".
- If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or doesn't participate, their market will resolve to "fair market price" (prior to teeing off) or "No" (after teeing off).
- Outcome will be verified by the following sources: Fox Sports, ESPN, and the Governing League.
