Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 23, 2025
Cubs at Reds
10:40 pm • MARQStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.76 | 7-4 | |
 |  | 3.21 | 14-8 |
Cubs at Reds Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cubs 52-42 | -1.5 | -1.5+147 | o8.5-105 | -116 |
Reds 43-50 | u8.5 | +1.5-175 | u8.5-120 | -103 |
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Cubs vs. Reds Expert Picks
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 38-33-2 (+0.3u)
M.Boyd u5.5 Ks+115
1u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 57-57-1 (+6.1u)
M.Boyd u5.5 Ks+115
1.15u
Boyd has cleared this line in 4 straight, but that’s largely due to an easier schedule — and this sets up as a sharp sell-high spot. The Reds rank 4th in K% on the season, but today’s lineup projects closer to league average. Boyd’s 24.8% K rate has outpaced his expected mark (21.6% in my model), so some regression looks likely.
His best strikeout pitch is the slider (35%+ whiff rate), and while the Reds have struggled badly against sliders (worst whiff rate in MLB), they’re right around league average vs. fastballs, changeups, and curveballs — which is notable because Boyd leans on that mix against right-handed hitters, and the Reds are sending up 8 of them today.
His most likely K range is 4–6, and with the under, we win on 2 of those 3 outcomes. I project this closer to -140, making +115 a strong value.
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 164-170-2 (-22.3u)
M.Boyd o5.5 Ks-127
1.5u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 23-111-4 (-4.3u)
K.Tucker o0.5 HR+380
0.5u
S.Suzuki o0.5 HR+425
2.13u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHC -105 (F5)
1u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 42-23-2 (+6.4u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 148-170-17 (+8.9u)
Under 8.5-110
0.55u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 124-129-6 (-6.5u)
Under 8.5-104
0.52u
Bet to -115
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 18-40-0 (-2.0u)
M.Boyd o17.5 Outs-130
1.3u
Cubs vs. Reds Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Cubs vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Reds are 26-19 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 48 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Reds vs. Cubs Injury Updates
Reds Injuries
Cubs Injuries
- Tyler Austin1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
- Justin SteeleSP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Cubs vs. Reds Box Score
Cubs Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 93 | 4 | 3 | 4 | |
 | 32 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 14 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 83 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
 | 18 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | |
 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
 | 35 | 1.2 | 2 | 3 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cubs vs. Reds Odds Comparison
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Cubs at Reds Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Cubs 52-42 | N/A | N/A |
Reds 43-50 | N/A | N/A |