Dodgers vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2025

Vasquez has regressed after a decent May, posting 7 walks to just 5 strikeouts across 2 starts this month. He hasn't gone 5 innings in either start. For the season, Vasquez has a 37:34 K:BB. He ranks 10th percentile in K% and 2nd percentile in BB%. Vasquez somehow has a 3.69 ERA, but all of his ERA estimators are above 5.50. There's implosion potential here. The Dodgers are an extremely challenging matchup. They rank 3rd in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ against RHP over the past 30 days. They also have the highest walk rate in that stretch. The Dodgers rank 5th in pitches seen per plate appearance. The Padres got 7 innings out of Dylan Cease yesterday. David Morgan finished off the blowout win. The Padres are off tomorrow, so they can lean on the bullpen today.

Follow @PicksOffice on X. Padres just lit up LA 11-1 – momentum carries. Wrobleski starts today: 9.82 ERA on the road, 1.82 WHIP, gets hit hard early and often. Vasquez wild lately – 34 BB in 13 starts, gave up 7 ER in last 14.1 IP. Dodgers crush mistakes – .924 OPS w/ RISP, .341 OBP. Ohtani, Freeman, and Teoscar still red-hot – Dodgers avg 5.29 runs/game last 14. Padres heating up too – LA lineup lethal. Both teams know these pitchers well – expect early swings and damage. Game time 1:10 PM local – warm June air = ball flies better. Petco’s no longer a pitcher’s park in these conditions. 6 of last 10 H2H have gone over, last one was a 15-run shootout. With both starters struggling and power bats locked in, 9.5 looks light.