Nationals vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2025

Nationals at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Washington Nationals

18-27

4 - 3

Baltimore Orioles

15-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Povich			5.55	1-3
M.Gore			3.59	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 18-27	-1.5	-1.5+165	o9+100	+105
Orioles 15-27	u9	+1.5-173	u9-115	-125

Friday 11:05 p.m.

May 16, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL +107

30% Battle of Beltway Boost -122 to +107 Home Team after swept at home Overall: 246-133-1,65% (ROI:19%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:87%)

BAL -125

2.5u

WSH +110

1.1u

BAL -125

1.25u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+550

0.5u

J.Wood o0.5 HR+600

WSH +110

1.1u

BAL -120

Under 9-115

0.87u

Both lineups frozen. Orioles avg just 3.71 runs/game, ranked 25th. Shut out 6x this season, scored in only 2 innings last series. Nationals not much better—4.07 runs/game (23rd), failed to top 2 runs in 5 of last 7. Combined team OPS barely cracks .685. Gore is a strikeout machine – 35.2 K%, 7 straight starts w/ 6+ Ks. Held BAL to 2 ER over 6 IP last time. xwOBA .303 = legit stuff. Povich’s lone win? 6.2 IP, 1 ER vs WAS on Apr 24. Both teams struggling w/ timing + RISP = recipe for zeros on the board. Unders cash in this rivalry – 34-16-1 last 51 meetings. Nationals 12-4 to the Under in last 16 interleague. April series had 2 games finish 2-1 and 4-3. Both skippers leaning conservative w/ lineups flailing. Expect a grind-it-out, pitcher-dominated pace.

M.Gore o6.5 Ks-112

0.89u

Generating at least a 47% whiff rate with four of his five pitches, according to Baseball Savant. Facing an Orioles lineup with a good number of lefties that has struggled to hit lefties so far in 2025. Would just recommend checking the forecast before placing a bet to ensure the odds of an in-game delay haven't increased from where they are as of now.

WSH +300 (1st Inn)

0.5u

3-way ML at FD. I like the 2-way (-105 CZ) as well for less risk

BAL -122

BAL -108

0.54u

Bet to -114

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 8-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Orioles' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	14-28	6-14	8-14	7-18	7-10
Nationals	21-24	11-11	10-13	2-5	19-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	19-20-3	12-6-2	7-14-1	13-10-2	6-10-1
Nationals	21-23-1	13-9	8-14-1	3-4	18-19-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	15-27	8-12	7-15	9-16	6-11
Nationals	18-27	10-12	8-15	3-4	15-23

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	MIN	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 9	MIN -132
May 14th	MIN	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9	MIN -142
May 14th	MIN	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -125
May 11th	@LAA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BAL -148
May 11th	@LAA	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 10	LAA -140

Paul DeJong
3B
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
1B
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
SP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
Tyler O’Neill has been scratched Friday.
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	102	3.2	9	2
RC.Henry, P	6	0.1	1	0
LA.Chafin, P	24	1	1	0
RJ.Rutledge, P	21	1	0	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	20	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	20	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Call, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Wood, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Lowe, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
6D.Crews, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Tena, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
8J.Young, CF	1-2	0	0	0
8L.Garcia, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Nunez, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
9N.Nunez, CF	1-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Povich, P	99	5.2	9	2
LG.Soto, P	12	0.2	1	0
RB.Baker, P	12	0.2	2	0
LK.Akin, P	14	1	1	1
RF.Bautista, P	20	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, DH	0-5	0	0
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-5	1	0
3A.Rutschman, C	3-5	1	0
4R.Laureano, LF	4-4	1	1
5R.O'Hearn, RF	2-3	0	0
5H.Kjerstad, RF	0-0	0	0
6R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	1
7J.Holliday, 2B	3-5	0	1
8C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	1-4	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0