Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023

Orioles at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Baltimore Orioles

3-3

4 - 8

New York Yankees

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schmidt			4.64	9-9
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Yankees 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 5:05 p.m.

July 04, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -110

C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks+112

1.34u

Over 9 (Live)-105

0.95u

BAL u4.5-130

0.5u

Schmidt has perfectly league average estimators, BAL down to a 101 wRC+ v RHP & 50 team wRC+ L7 days, while the NYY defenses is above average (5 Runs Prevented) and the pen has the 4th best estimators L30 days

NYY -115

0.35u

NYY -120

0.83u

Why the fuck did I bet on the Nationals

J.Bauers o0.5 HR+540

0.05u

Dingers

A.Volpe o1.5 Total Bases+160

0.1u

To +150

R.O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.65u

A.Santander o1.5 Total Bases+108

0.5u

C.Schmidt u17.5 Outs-155

0.65u

BAL +100

NYY -115

0.75u

Bet to -130. Reduce risk above -120

NYY -125 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -135

BAL +108

0.5u

Project Schmidt -110; Yankees wRC+ lower part of MLB v righties (Gibson)

Under 9-120

0.6u

Project 7.6; both pens sub 3.7 FIP

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 5-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Yankees' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	5-1	N/A	5-1	4-1	1-0
Orioles	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-3	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	1-4-1	N/A	1-4-1	0-4-1	1-0
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-3	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	5-1	N/A	5-1	4-1	1-0
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-2	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	BAL	W 6-3	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@STL	L 1-5	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@STL	W 6-2	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@STL	L 4-11	-	-	-
Jun 29th	@ATH	W 10-4	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
OF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
IF
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
IF
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Carlos Rodon
P
Rodon is out with elbow
Out
Gerrit Cole
P
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Volpe
IF
Volpe is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	104	6	4	4
LN.Vespi, P	14	0.2	2	3
RB.Baker, P	15	0.1	1	0
LB.Zimmermann, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6A. Hicks, LF	1-3	1	1	1
7J.Westburg, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	1	1	2
8R.Urias, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8R.Urias, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	80	5	7	3
RR.Marinaccio, P	28	1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	9	1	0	0
RT.Kahnle, P	22	1	1	0
RA. Abreu, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	1	0	1
2G.Torres, 2B	2-4	3	1	2
3G.Stanton, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4J.Bauers, RF	1-2	1	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	2
6A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
7I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-3	1	0	1
8O.Cabrera, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, C	1-3	1	1	1